Liberty vs. Aces Prediction & Picks (8/13): Wilson Leads the Drive for Five

Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson, a three-time WNBA MVP

Since suffering a humiliating home loss to the Minnesota Lynx, the Las Vegas Aces have won four consecutive games. Tonight, the Aces will look to extend their season-best win streak to five games in a nationally-televised clash vs. the New York Liberty (9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Entering tonight’s matchup at Michelob Ultra Arena, the Liberty (21-11) are three games ahead of the Aces (18-14) in the race for the second seed in the WNBA playoffs. A win tonight for the home team could be pivotal, not only for the two teams involved, but also for the Atlanta Dream (20-11), Phoenix Mercury (19-12), and Indiana Fever (18-15). Which team will come out on top in this contest? Read on for our Liberty vs. Aces prediction and picks and see the value you can get at top online sportsbooks such as BetOnline.

Liberty vs. Aces Betting Trends

  • The Liberty are 11-18-2 against the spread this season, including 4-10-1 ATS on the road.
  • New York is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
  • The Liberty are 5-5 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Aces are 14-18 against the spread this season, including 6-9 ATS at home.
  • Las Vegas is 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS when favored by five or fewer points this season.
  • The Aces have covered in their last five games when favored by single digits.
  • The Aces are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.

Liberty vs. Aces Prediction and Picks

Too little time has passed still since the Aces’ loss to the Lynx to make bold proclamations about them being worthy of a place at the top end of WNBA championship odds.

However, they have responded in the right way with four consecutive wins. A fifth straight victory would be the strongest sign yet that the Aces are on the way back.

That is because wins against the WNBA’s better teams have been few and far between this season. Entering today, the Aces just 2-6 this season against the four teams currently ahead of them in the WNBA standings. Even with Breanna Stewart sidelined, a win in the latest installment of the Liberty vs. Aces rivalry would be an achievement.

New York is 2-0 against Las Vegas this season, winning 92-78 at Barclays Center on May 17 and 87-78 at the same venue on July 8. However, both wins were with Stewart, who has not played since July 26. And while the Liberty are certainly still very, very good, they are less formidable without Stewart.

The Aces also have the benefit of being the more rested team. They last played on Sunday, a 94-86 win over the Connecticut Sun. The Liberty, meanwhile, were active just last night in a 105-97 win at Los Angeles.

The Liberty had to work to see off the Sparks, so even though they didn’t have a long trek from L.A. to Vegas, fatigue might be a factor tonight.

Also, they have the misfortune of catching A’ja Wilson when she is in the spirit. Against the Sun on Sunday, she recorded the WNBA’s first 30-20 game, and she has averaged 25.5 PPG and 13.3 RPG in the Aces’ four game win streak.

Last Four Games for A’ja Wilson

  • vs. Connecticut: 32 points, 20 rebounds, five assists, two steals
  • vs. Seattle: 29 points, 12 rebounds, three assists
  • at Golden State: 27 points, seven rebounds, three assists, two steals, two blocks
  • vs. Golden State: 14 points, 14 rebounds, two assists, four steals

Wilson exited the most recent Liberty vs. Aces matchup early due to injury but put up 31 points and 16 boards in the first meeting against New York this season. Look for the three-time MVP to put her powers on display once again and send the home crowd happy.

Liberty vs. Aces Prediction: Aces to win

Liberty vs. Aces Picks: 1) Aces ML (-145 at Everygame) 2) A’ja Wilson over 22.5 points (-130 at Bovada)

Other WNBA Betting Content

Betting News extensively covers the WNBA, providing expert picks for many of the league’s top matchups, analysis of key storylines from a betting perspective, and more.

Are you new to betting on the WNBA? Check out our updated WNBA betting guide.  It covers a lot of basic information about the league, how to bet on it, and betting tools and resources that can enhance your chances of a successful season betting on the WNBA.

Several of our sports betting guides are also handy resources for WNBA bettors. This includes our guide to futures bets, our breakdowns of line movement and line shopping, and our comparison of moneyline and spread betting.

Also, check out our streams and social media channels for even more WNBA betting insight.