Paris Saint-Germain vs. Real Madrid Picks & Predictions (7/9): Who Earns Spot in Sunday’s Final?

Paris Saint-Germain Real Madrid picks

Yesterday, Chelsea ended Fluminense’s Cinderella run, beating them in the semifinals and earning a trip to the FIFA Club World Cup title match on Sunday. Today, we have the other two teams battling for the final spot, as Paris Saint-Germain face Real Madrid.

Do the UCL Champions have another couple wins in them?

Check out the best odds on the market at our top online sportsbooks below.

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Real Madrid Club World Cup Betting Odds

Mbappé faces PSG for the first time since leaving - Paris Saint-Germain Real Madrid Picks & Predictions

Kylian Mbappé faces his former club today

PSG has made light work of nearly anyone who stood in their way. They’ve won four of five matches in this tournament, doing so in 90 minutes in every contest. It took a 78′ minute winner to get past Bayern Munich after playing nearly a scoreless match, and after PSG received two straight red cards, they found another in the 90+6′ with only nine men on the field.

Today, they will be without center back Willian Pacho, who has started all five matches for the French side, and left back Lucas Hernandez, who has appeared in three and started just one. While this does hinder the PSG back line, they’ll still have Acraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, and Nuno Mendes patrolling the defense.

Real Madrid have won four straight after drawing with Al Hilal to open the competition. They will be without center back Dean Huijsen, who also received a red card in the quarterfinals. Huijsen has started all five matches for the Spanish side. After Real Madrid jumped out to a two-goal lead, Borussia Dortmund and the Spaniards combined for three total goals in stoppage time, as they held on for a 3-2 victory.

Today, Kylian Mbappé faces his former club for the first time since leaving.

Matchup Information – Paris Saint-Germain vs. Real Madrid – July 9

  • Venue & Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
  • Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
  • Kick Off: 3:00 p.m. Eastern
  • Broadcast: TNT/truTV/DAZN

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Moneyline

  • Paris Saint-Germain +140
  • Draw +262
  • Real Madrid +192

To Advance

  • Paris Saint-Germain -138
  • Real Madrid +115

Total

  • Over 3 (-115)
  • Under 3 (-105)

PSG has been on a bit of a revenge tour, knocking off clubs that may have gotten the better of them in the past. Plus they face their former stud striker who decided to test the waters of the transfer market this summer, ending up on Real Madrid.

Kylian Mbappé did not appear in any group stage matches, but he has subbed on the past two, scoring what ended up being the winning goal in stoppage time against Dortmund. Does he get the start today against his former club?

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Real Madrid Club World Cup Picks

Bellingham faces PSG today in the FIFA Club World Cup - Paris Saint-Germain Real Madrid Picks

Jude Bellingham leads the Spanish side against the UCL Champions

Best Bet: Real Madrid To Advance (+112) BetOnline

I’ll take the Spanish side to advance, as well as sprinkling on the Draw No Bet at (+114). Without two key defenders, PSG should be much more conservative and brace for the Spanish attack. Real Madrid will test the weakened back line of Paris Saint-Germain, hoping to break through early and diminish their morale.

PSG has allowed just one goal all tournament, winning four matches in shutout fashion, but Real Madrid has plenty of attacking power and they know how to use it. They have nine assists on 11 goals scored in this competition, with seven players netting a goal, and eight having at least one assist. Even without Huijsen, Madrid have multiple defenders who can step up in his place.

Ultimately, I see the Spanish playing much more fearlessly than their opponent, who could struggle without Pacho and Hernandez to help in the back. Give me Real Madrid to find a way to win, and hopefully do so in 90 minutes to cash both of our bets.

Prediction: Real Madrid Wins 2-1 (+1000)

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