PAIN. After getting back to .500 on the NHL best bets articles, we hit a dreaded reverse sweep. Only thing that means is tonight we gotta reverse the reverse sweep. After that brutal loss we are 12-15 on the season but with so many plus money props. We have some nice looking matches this Thursday night. So we’ll look for some of the NHL best bet value plays and weave our way through this tasty slate to find some of the best NHL player props of the day.
We will be breaking down NHL best bets here at Betting News all playoffs long! Each article will look for VALUE, as in straights you can take to build up your bankroll or pieces you can use to beef up your parlays. All bets will be -135 or better odds. And while we will focus on NHL player props, there are times we will take sides and totals. So keep your eyes peeled here as we will drop these throughout the week.
And if you haven’t already be sure to check out some of my favorite futures and awards. So time to lace them up and get ready to ride with Betzky for my favorite NHL best bets of the day.
1. Brandt Clarke o1.5 SOG +100 on BetOnline:
Top offensive defenseman of the Los Angeles Kings Brandt Clarke has been shooting
Highly touted defenseman Bradnt Clarke of the Los Angeles Kings is starting to find his groove. And tonight he gets a fantastic matchup to keep rolling in his shots on goal prop. Clarke isn’t a low-volume, stay-at-home guy anymore – he’s shooting like a modern puck-moving D. Over the last 10 games he has hit his 1.5 SOG prop 8 times and is averaging 3.9 shot attempts a game. Looking at the 2025-26 game log, Clarke has recorded 2+ shots in 10 of 17 games so far, including outings with 3, 4 and even 5 shots (e.g., 5 SOG vs New Jersey on Nov. 1).
That’s a player whose “normal” game already lives above a 1.5 line. You’re not praying for an outlier here; you’re essentially betting he plays to his established usage. n the power play, he’s embedded on PP2, usually alongside Phillip Danault, Quinton Byfield, Alex Laferriere, etc., logging about 1:48 of PP time per game as the lone defenseman on that unit.
Toronto’s defensive environment is exactly what you want when you’re betting a defenseman SOG prop:The Leafs are allowing 30.82 shots against per game this season, up from 29.33 SA/GP in 2024-25, putting them on the high side of league shot volume allowed. Currently the Leafs are allowing the 9th most shots against to defensemen and the 5th most overall. It’s clear why this plus money prop is an NHL best bet at a discount.
2. Adam Fantilli Point -130 on BetOnline:
Adam Fantilli has been on fire since his promotion
Fantilli isn’t a “maybe he breaks out” guy anymore – that already happened: He put up 31 goals and 54 points in 82 games in 2024-25, establishing himself as a primary offensive driver in Columbus. This season he’s sitting at 4 goals and 7 assists for 11 points in 16 games (0.69 points per game), right on pace to repeat or slightly beat that 54-point benchmark. But two of those goals and 5 of those points came in the last three games. He is officially red hot after a slow start.
Fantilli’s deployment is exactly what you want for a point prop: he is on the top line with Dmitri Voronkov and Kirill Marchenko, and that same trio is projected again versus Edmonton. That 5 points in 3 games stretch includes a power-play marker and confirms he’s converting his usage into actual scoring, not just shots. Now the Blue Jackets get a rematch with the Oilers who bested them three nights ago 5-4 in over time.
Edmonton remains elite offensively but far from airtight defensively: On the season, the Oilers are allowing 3.33 goals against per game (60 GA in 18 games) despite giving up relatively few shots (25.06 SA/GP), which tells you their defensive mistakes are costly. Over their last 10 games, they’ve bled 3.60 goals against per game, a clear sign of an environment where opposing top lines can get on the scoresheet. The Oilers are comning off a back to back, and should be tired which makes this NHL best bet even tastier.
Get 50% up to $750 Deposit on BetOnline for this pick
3. Tim Stutzle o2.5 SOG +110 on BetOnline:
Tim Stutzle has been great with his SOG prop at home
Stützle has evolved from a pure playmaker into a reliable shot generator. Especially with Brady Tkachuk out of the lineup. For 2025-26 specifically, Frozen Tools has him at roughly 46 shots in 17 games — about 2.7 SOG per game, which already sits above a 2.5 line.
The Senators are built around Stützle as one of their primary offensive engines: He’s a top-line center and one of the team leaders in goals (8) on the season, reinforcing that Ottawa leans on him as a finisher, not just a setup guy. On the power play, Stützle is a staple on PP1, usually working the flank where he can either attack off the half-wall or walk into the slot for clean looks. Stutzle is better at home, making this plus money NHL best bet even sweeter. He has hit in 6 of 9 home games averaging 6 shot attempts per game. On the road he has only hit twice and averaged 3.8 shot attempts, a huge difference.
The “old” Bruins reputation doesn’t totally match the current numbers: Boston is allowing about 30.1 shots against per game this season, higher than you’d instinctively expect for a defense-first brand. They are allowing the 10th most goals against and the 8th most shots against per game in the league. They also are weak to centers. The Bruins are allowing the 5th most shots to centers this season.
Get 50% up to $750 Deposit on BetOnline for this pick