Raiders vs. Broncos | NFL Week 10 Breakdown & Best Bets: Thursday Night Football

Week 10’s officially here and with it we’ve for Thursday Night Football. The week starts off with the Las Vegas Raiders taking a trip to the Rocky Mountains to face of with Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. Big divisional matchup to kick off the week, let’s jump right into it.

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Game Information

Brock Bowers

Matchup Information

  • Location: Empower Field; Denver, Colorado
  • Date: Thursday, November 6th, 2025
  • Kickoff: 8:15 PM EST

Quarterback Matchup

  • Las Vegas Raiders: Geno Smith (10-7; 2024 – 254.1 YPG | 21 TD | 15 INT)
  • Denver Broncos: Bo Nix (10-7; 2024 – 222.1 YPG | 29 TD | 12 INT)

Betting Odds

Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.

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Analysis & Breakdown

Maxx Crosby

All Bowers, All Day

It took exactly one week for a healthy Brock Bowers to remind us all what he’s capable of. The second year tight end finished their game last week with 12 catches, 127 receiving yards and THREE touchdowns; including what was almost the game winner. The Raiders had their best offensive game of the year, scoring 29 points and recording 331 total yards of offense.

This week the Raiders head on the road and now without their top wide receiver, Jakobi Meyers. Meyers was traded to the Jaguars this week and an already thin wide receiver room just got thinner. Having Bowers back on the field is huge, mainly because of the variety of ways the team uses him. Last week Bowers only took 15% of his snaps next to the offensive tackle, he was in the slot for 51% of his snaps and out wide for 33%.

The offense has not been able to move the ball on the ground and it’s because of how bad this offensive line’s been. Ashton Jeanty ranks in the bottom three among all starting RBs this year in yards before contact but top seven in yards after contact. He’s been elite but this offensive line has done him no favors.

Scary Seven

This Broncos front seven is one of the scariest units we’ve seen in a little while. The team’s got a 11.9% sack rate, averaging 4.4 per game with three different pass rushers in the top-12 for pressures created. They rank 8th in rush yards allowed, 6th in pass yards allowed, 1st in opponent yards per play and opponent third down conversion rate.

The team’s defense has been great and has kept them in every single game they’ve played this year. Last week without Patrick Surtain in the lineup, the team held the Texans to 15 points, 268 total yards of offense and gave up no touchdowns. They managed four sacks and held the Texans to fewer than 80 total yards on the ground.

Offensively the Broncos have been wildly inconsistent. After putting up 44 points on the Dallas Cowboys, they barely managed a win over the lowly Texans last week. Prior to Cowboys game, they had that 19-point comeback against the Giants where they failed to score for three quarters. The game before the Giants they struggled to score 13 points against the New York Jets; one of the worst defenses in the league and that was directly after beating the reigning champions.

This week they line up against a Raiders team that ranks 22nd in points allowed so I’m hopeful we’ll see the more explosive version of this Broncos offense.

Thursday Night’s Best Bets

Troy Franklin o43.5 Receiving Yards (-114) | BetOnline

Broncos Receivers

This offense now has two big time wide receivers and Troy Franklin’s a name we should get used to hearing. He’s only hit this line in four of his nine games this year but his role on this offense is really just starting to develop. Over the last three weeks, Franklin’s seen 28 targets but just 13 have been catchable. Big reason is in two of the last three games the Broncos went up against two tough pass rushes in the Giants and Texans.

In his game against the Cowboys, a team that ranks bottom-10 in pass rush, Franklin caught six of his eight targets for 80 yards and two touchdowns. He now leads the Broncos in target share but only 61% of his targets have been catchable. Just last week, Franklin saw 10 targets, only four catchable and finished with just 27 receiving yards. He finished the day with with 195 air yards on his 10 targets and is seeing an average depth of 16.5 yards over the last three weeks.

Franklin may still be this team’s WR2 but over the last three weeks he’s seeing a first read target share of 30.9%, leading the team. That’s a stark difference from the 13.2% he saw from Weeks 1-6.

Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown (+170) | BetOnline

Franklin also leads the team in redzone targets with 12 and last week this Broncos came away with zero redzone trips. Denver ranks 8th in redzone efficiency and the Raiders rank 23rd in touchdowns allowed to the position. The Raiders also rank 28th in opponent redzone trips per game and like I said, Franklin leads the team in that department.

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