Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos: The Super Bowl Champions haven’t lost a football game since Week 16 of last season, back on December 22nd. Since then, they’ve rattled off 10 straight victories, including their postseason run.
Philadelphia opened as 4.5-point home favorites against Denver, but early market support for the Broncos has moved the line down to 3.5. The total has also inched lower, opening at 44.5 and now sitting at 43.5.
Can the Broncos ride the momentum from their Monday Night Football win over the Bengals, or will the Eagles keep rolling and extend their winning streak? Here are my Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos picks and predictions.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos NFL Betting Insights
Is Bo Nix ready to take on the defending Super Bowl champs?
Frightening Philly: The Eagles keep stacking wins, but none have come easy. Every victory this season has been decided by a single score – four over Dallas, three against Kansas City, seven versus the Rams, and six against the Bucs.
There’s a sense of unease with how Philadelphia has finished games, yet they also instill plenty of fear in opponents by simply continuing to come out on top. What adds to the concern, though, is how the numbers are starting to shape their profile. The offense ranks 15th in EPA per play and 17th in success rate, while the defense sits 12th and 17th in those categories.
Those aren’t the hallmarks of a dominant Super Bowl team, yet here they are, still finding ways to win. That combination – the talent to punish, paired with the cracks that could haunt – makes Philly both intimidating and unnerving at the same time.
Doubting Denver: Ah yes, one of the public’s favorite preseason darlings just put on quite the show this past Monday. Winning 28-3 in primetime is certainly commendable… oh, wait – not when it’s against Jake Browning and the far inferior Cincinnati Bengals.
To be fair, it’s still professional football, and I’ll give Denver credit for outgaining Cincinnati 512 to 159, holding the ball for over 15 extra minutes, and racking up 20 more first downs. But let’s keep it in perspective: the Bengals were without Joe Burrow and field one of the league’s weakest defenses. The Broncos did what they were supposed to do – nothing more, nothing less. That doesn’t suddenly mean they’re back on track or living up to the hype they carried into the season.
This is a team that still has many flaws, and Bo Nix is one of them. He’s completing just 67% of his passes, has a 7-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and averages only 3.1 yards per carry on scrambles. People were quick to anoint him as a rising star, but the lack of stardom is evident, and facing the Eagles should only reinforce that.
Eagles vs Broncos Picks: I’ll be keeping an eye on the prop market for ways to fade Bo Nix. Philadelphia is allowing opposing quarterbacks just 207 passing yards and 19.5 completions per game, while holding them to a league-low 56.9% completion rate.
So, I’ll have to wait and see where his numbers populate, but I expect Nix to struggle out in Philly.
I would, though, give consideration to backing his tailback J.K. Dobbins. He just became the first Broncos running back since Latavious Murray in 2022 to top 100 rushing yards, and he now draws an Eagles defense that ranks 30th in success rate allowed against the run.
Here’s what other starting backs have done against the Eagles’ front:
- Javonte Williams: 15 carries, 54 yards
- Isaiah Pacheco: 10 carries, 22 yards
- Kyren Williams: 20 carries, 94 yards
- Bucky Irving: 15 carries, 63 yards
Outside of Pacheco’s quiet outing, backs have run effectively against Philadelphia, and Dobbins is positioned to do the same – especially with Nix likely struggling to generate much through the air.
As for the side, I’d lean toward the Eagles. With Denver getting market support, there’s a chance this spread drops to a flat -3. If that happens, I’d be tempted to buy low on Philadelphia. Otherwise, I’ll stick to the player props and wait for a better number in-game. And given how tight the Eagles’ first four contests have been, there’s a good chance that opportunity will come.
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