Two teams looking to right the ship, one of a dominant win and the other off an ugly loss. Let’s jump right into this Patriots/Panthers matchup at Gilette Stadium.
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Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: Gillette Stadium; Foxborough, New England
- Date: Sunday, September 28th, 2025
- Kickoff: 1:00 PM EST
Quarterback Matchup
- Carolina Panthers: Bryce Young (4-10; 2024 – 171.6 YPG | 15 TD | 9 INT)
- New England Patriots: Drake Maye (3-9; 2024 – 187.8 YPG | 15 TD | 10 INT)
Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Analysis & Breakdown
They Did What to the Falcons?
The Panthers are coming off their most dominant win of the Bryce Young era. Carolina shut out the Falcons in Week 3, winning the game 30-0. That’s not a typo, the Panthers shut out the Falcons and put a 30-burger on their heads. Young looked okay in the win, completing 67% of his passes for 121 yards and no touchdowns but more importantly, no interceptions. After recording an interception in back to back games, Young took care of the ball; even ran in for the game’s opening score.
On the defensive side, after giving up 53 points through two weeks; the Panthers came to play. Carolina held Michael Penix Jr. to a 50% completion rate, just 172 yards through the air and managed to pick him off twice. They defense did struggle against the run, allowing Bijan to finish the game with 72 yards on just 13 carries (5.5 YPC) and giving up 46 yards on the ground to rookie Nathan Carter (6.6 YPC).
I wouldn’t expect the Panthers to shut anyone out again, but this week against the Patriots; I wouldn’t count them out.
Iceman, Drake
In his first year as a full time starter, Drake Maye’s looked great. He’s averaging 261.7 pass yards per game, completing 73% of his passes and he’s thrown five touchdowns to just two interceptions. Despite the 1-2 record, Maye’s looked good and the future looks bright in New England. Outside of Maye, the offense has looked bad.
Maye currently sits as the team’s leader in rushing yards, while both Rhamondre Stevnenson and Antonio Gibson have trouble holding onto the ball. In last week’s loss to the Steelers, New England had FIVE turnovers; one interception and four fumbles. Stevenson fumbled twice but it was Maye that lost the ball late in the fourth quarter, down in Pittsburgh territory. The Steelers turned that into seven, marching 67 yards the other way and capping it off with a game winning touchdown to Calvin Austin.
New England’s two losses have both been by a single touchdown and this week with Carolina visiting, it might be the perfect ‘get right’ spot.
Sunday’s Best Bets
Hunter Henry o38.5 Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry might be the only dependable pass catcher on this Patriots roster. He leads the team in target share, seeing 21.2% of the team’s targets. Henry also leads the team in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns. He’s not just doing it off short dump offs either, Henry leads all tight ends (min. 15 targets) in average depth of target with a 10.1 yard average.
Henry’s playing 86% of the snaps so far this year and he’s taking a good portion of those snaps in the slot (30.8%). The Panthers linebacking crew rank in the bottom five in coverage grade and have struggled against opposing tight ends all year. Carolina’s ranked 32nd in receiving yards allowed to the tight end position this year, allowing an average of 74 yards per game.
Henry’s seeing more targets than ever before and he’s making the most of the opportunity. Look for him to do the same on Sunday.
Chubba Hubbard o3.5 Receptions (+115)
Chubba Hubbard looks to build on his amazing season last year in Carolina
Chubba’s looked good this year, but we’re still waiting for that big impact game of 2025. Last week we saw Hubbard finish with 73 yards on 17 carries and catch two of his three targets for just three yards. So far this year, Hubbard’s averaging 3.9 yards per carry and just 56.0 rushing yards per game. He’s made up for it through the air, hauling in 10 of his 14 targets this year for 74 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
Hubbard’s always been a dual threat running back but the lack of run blocking in Carolina has made it tough for Hubbard to attack on the ground. The Patriots have given up the 4th most receiving yards to opposing backs, the 5th most receptions and 5th most targets. The Patriots linebacking core have also struggled in coverage this year and it’s a big reason why we’ve seen them get torched by opposing backs. In Week 2 we saw De’Von Achane record eight catches on 11 targets and we saw Jaylen Warren finish with five receptions on six targets last week.
Look for Chubba to get out in space this week and stretch the Patriots defense this week.
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