NFL Week 12 is here and there are some fantastic matchups on this Sunday slate and lots of money to be made!
Below, our Team here at Betting News is going to give their BEST BETS for the Week 12 NFL Slate. Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team’s favorite bets!
Here is the Squad’s Record after Week 11:
(83-49 of All Picks -120 or better odds)
Daniel Collins (SPJ): 8-3
Chef T: 7-4
Nate Hornung (Shaggy): 5-6
Colby Marchio: 5-6
John Hyslop (Slop): 5-6
Varun Sharma (Sauce): 7-4
Brad Blakemore (Betzky): 8-3
Danny Burke: 8-3
Kate Constable: 5-6
Adam Kaufman: 9-2
Tristan Vieira (Trizzy): 10-1
Sukh Brar: 6-5
Now let’s dive in to the Betting News Experts’ Best Bets for NFL Week 12!
All Odds available at BetOnline, the industry leader in the Sports betting Market.
Daniel Collins’ (SPJ) (8-3) Week 12 NFL Best Bet
Can Michael Wilson go back to back after a massive performance last week?
Michael Wilson o55.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Let’s go to the new Number 1 wideout in Arizona, coming off a career day last week going for a massive 15 catch, 185 receiving yard outburst. This week, Wilson gets a matchup with Jacksonville, who is 25th in the NFL to receiving yards allowed.
I don’t need 180+ once again this week, but if you’re feeling frisky Michael, have another massive day.
Chef T’s (7-4) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Zay Flowers o62.5 Receiving yards (-115)
Zay Flowers is the one dude in this Ravens offense who never leaves the kitchen — every big play, every drive-starter, every “we need something now” moment runs through him. He’s already sitting on 700+ yards and 50+ grabs, and with Bateman out, Lamar’s basically sliding his plate right to Zay every time a play needs seasoning.
If you’re betting on anyone in this passing game to cook up a TD, he’s the guy bringing the heat 62.5 yards.
Nate Hornung’s (5-6) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Falcons/Saints Under 40.5 (-110)
NFL. Divisional. Unders. Learn ’em. Live ’em. Love ’em.
Not only are divisional unders 27-22 this season, hitting at 55.1%, but the NFC South specifically is 4-1 to the under. Plus, the New Orleans Saints have gone under in both of their NFC South contests, while the Atlanta Falcons are 2-1 to the under in divisional games. Let’s not overthink this.
The Falcons are 5-4-1 to the under overall, while the Saints are 7-3, going under in their last six. New Orleans is second worst in the NFL in points per play, but still have a top 10 rushing defense, while Atlanta ranks bottom five in points/play and third down conversions.
Get ready for a snooze fest.
Colby Marchio’s (5-6) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Caleb Williams looks to have another big day through the air
Caleb Williams over 215.5 passing yards (-120)
First off, this prop is just set too low. Caleb Williams and the Bears get to face a defense giving up over 260 passing yards per game on the season, dead last in the NFL.
Second, Williams has already carved up teams that struggle against the pass: 280 vs the Bengals, 298 vs the Cowboys, and 252 vs the Commanders. All three sit near the bottom of the league in passing yards allowed.
And everyone’s favorite way of gauging how well a player is doing: “How many times has he done it lately?” Three of his last four games. Boom. Massive sample for the kids.
John Hyslop’s (5-6) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Luther Burden Over 2.5 Receptions (+118)
This could easily be the greatest bet we ever make in our lives. It’s almost like the books don’t even watch these games. For starters, he’s done this in each of his last two games. On top of that, he took over Olamide Zaccheaus’s job last week. The Bears didn’t draft this kid to NOT throw him the ball. He’s catching 3+ passes this week. Feels easy.
Varun Sharma’s (7-4) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Hunter Henry o39.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Not the flashiest name on the Patriots roster, but Hunter Henry has been great for them this year. The 30-year old TE’s averaging 38.4 receiving yards per game, he’s got 34 catches and four of them have ended up in the endzone. Henry’s second on this team in target share and this week he faces a Bengals defense that ranks dead last against TEs.
The Bengals are allowing 80.2 yards per game to opposing TEs and Henry’s seen 6+ targets in 2 of his last 3 games; clearing this line in both of those games. The Bengals LB crew leaves a ton to be desired. Both Knight and Carter rank as the bottom two graded LBs this year, both with coverage grades below 50.
These two have been torched by opposing TEs all year, allowing both Darnell Washington and Colston Loveland to post career highs over the last two weeks.
Brad Blakemore’s (8-3) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
The King should feast this week vs the Jets
Derrick Henry o87.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Henry is back on his throne after a slow start. The Ravens should be able to take BTA to the Jets, meaning Henry will be used to slow the game down and secure the dub. He is averaging just under 100 rush yards per game in his last 5.
Danny Burke’s (8-3) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
David Montgomery Over 48.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Montgomery will be facing a Giants run defense that’s allowing the most yards per rush attempt (5.5) and also ranks dead last in Rush EPA/Play. The Lions will get back to what they do best offensively, and that’s running the ball. There will be plenty of offensive possessions for them as a double-digit favorite going against a team without their starting quarterback.
Kate Constable’s (5-6) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Ashton Jeanty U57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Cleveland is 14th in run defense, but that number doesn’t really tell the full story. Early in the season the Browns smothered every back they faced. Lately, they’ve run into a tougher stretch with guys like Derrick Henry, Breece Hall, and TreyVeon Henderson. The Raiders offensive line is the real problem. They’re not generating any push, they’re losing early downs, and they’re giving Jeanty almost no clean reads or lanes to build momentum.
Cleveland’s front thrives on penetration and chaos, so Jeanty is probably getting contacted at or behind the line more often than not. Unless the Raiders somehow flip the script and play from ahead, which feels highly unlikely, this sets up as a grind-it-out, low-efficiency night.
Adam Kaufman’s (9-2) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Seahawks -12.5 (-115)
I’ll be honest, I wanted to take Colts ML, but my guys SPJ and Danny Burke absolutely love the Chiefs this week, so I’m gonna let them have their moment. Just know, if Indy wins, we were on the right side of history.
I’m taking the Seahawks to cover the two-score spread in Tennessee against a Titans team that’s dropped five straight, is winless at home, and 6-24 ATS since the start of last season.
The Seahawks are 8-2 ATS this year, they’re considerably better (obviously), and should be hungry after a narrow loss to the Rams that including FOUR Sam Darnold interceptions. The legend Jaxon Smith-Njigba should hit the century mark in yards, Seattle’s RB tandem will pick up chunk gains with ease, and the Hawks will stay in the mix for the NFC West crown.
Tristan Vieira’s (10-1) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Alvin Kamara and the Saints look to stack wins in the NFC South
Saints -2.5 (-110)
Saints are riding the high of a big win & coming off a much needed bye week. They will be hosting a very banged up Falcons team with Penix out and London questionable.
Saints laying 2 here and I expect them to keep the momentum rolling as a divisional short favorite at home.
Sukh Brar’s (6-5) NFL Week 12 Best Bet
Panthers +7 (+100)
The 49ers have recently struggled at home. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six in Levi’s Stadium. They are also 2-4 straight up in the same sample size. Carolina hasn’t made the playoffs since 2017 and it’s so close now they can smell it. Their remaining schedule includes two games against the divisional rival Bucs — who are hurt and struggling. If Dave Canales wants to taste the postseason they likely need a win here. So give me the Panthers as plus money dogs.
Woof. Rawr. Meow.
Enjoy NFL Week 12!
You can also check out more free picks & analysis from every NFL Week 12 Matchup!
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