NFL Week 11 is here and there are some fantastic matchups on this Sunday slate and lots of money to be made!
Below, our Team here at Betting News is going to give their BEST BETS for the Week 11 NFL Slate. Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team’s favorite bets!
Here is the Squad’s Record after Week 10:
(76-44 of All Picks -120 or better odds)
Daniel Collins (SPJ): 8-2
Chef T: 7-3
Nate Hornung (Shaggy): 4-6
Colby Marchio: 5-5
John Hyslop (Slop): 5-5
Varun Sharma (Sauce): 6-4
Brad Blakemore (Betzky): 7-3
Danny Burke: 7-3
Kate Constable: 5-5
Adam Kaufman: 8-2
Tristan Vieira (Trizzy): 9-1
Sukh Brar: 5-5
Now let’s dive in to the Betting News Experts’ Best Bets for NFL Week 11!
All Odds available at BetOnline, the industry leader in the Sports betting Market.
Daniel Collins’ (SPJ) (8-2) Week 11 NFL Best Bet
Christian McCaffrey looks to get loose again against Arizona
Christian McCaffrey o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I don’t understand why this line is under 50 but I will happily take it.
CMC has been the most targeted pass catcher in the 49ers offense all season long, with a whopping 90 targets, good for 25% of the team’s target share.
In a big divisional matchup, I expect Brock Purdy to find the Niners best offensive weapon often in space and get him well over 50+ receiving yards. He had 88 receiving yards on 10 catches and 15 targets against this same Arizona team earlier this season and has hit this line in 9 of 10 games this season.
Not overthinking it. Have a day, CMC.
Chef T’s (7-3) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Ja’Marr Chase o94.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Chase isn’t sneaking up on anyone, but it straight-up doesn’t matter—he’s cleared 90 in five straight and already hung 161 on this same Steelers defense earlier in the year.
Pittsburgh still can’t match his physicality or handle the volume he’s getting with the offense leaning on him. If Cincinnati needs a pulse, it runs through Chase, and 94.5 looks more like a speed bump than a ceiling.
Nate Hornung’s (4-6) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Chiefs/Broncos Under 45 (-105)
This is the Broncos’ Super Bowl. They lead the league in third down conversion defense, yards per play allowed, and are top three in scoring as well. Offensively, those stats aren’t too great, as we’ve seen them put up just 28 points in their last two games. But we know they will play the Chiefs tough.
NFL Divisional Unders are 22-19 (53.7%) this year, and in the AFC West specifically, they are 4-1, including Denver going under in both divisional matchups. Not to mention the Broncos are 7-3 to the under overall. The Chiefs are 6-3 to the under this year and have done so in four straight, many thanks to their defense who is also top four in points allowed per game.
Get ready for a gritty, gross, low scoring Chiefs win.
Colby Marchio’s (5-5) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
JJ McCarthy looks to get a big divisional win at home
Vikings -2.5 (115)
This is a complete fade of the Bears, who are coming off back-to-back comeback wins over two of the league’s worst teams. In both games, Chicago needed late drives to pull it out, that kind of luck isn’t sustainable.
The Vikings, meanwhile, are coming off a tough home loss to the Ravens and should be primed for a bounce-back. This feels like a get-right spot for Minnesota, and a chance to complete the season sweep of the Bears.
John Hyslop’s (5-5) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Harold Fannin 40+ Receiving Yards (+106)
This could easily be the greatest bet of all time. We should know because we just hit the greatest bet of all time last week with Jaylen Waddle’s 70+ receiving yards. All we need to know is that the Browns are set up for a beating at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens.
They will have to throw more than they want to, which means Fanin gets fed. The man has already done this to the Baltimore secondary once this season. He can do it again. Feels easy.
Varun Sharma’s (6-4) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Nico Collins o72.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Nico Collins has 40 receptions on the year for 550 yards and three touchdowns. He’s dealt with inconsistent QB play and now he’ll take the field for a second straight week with the back up QB; Davis Mills.
This week the Texans line up against another division rival, the Tennessee Titans. The Titans rank 27th in receiving yards allowed to wideouts and Collins’ is no easy cover. He’s had 36 targets over the last three weeks and saw a 31.3% first read target share with Mills under centre last week and finished the day with 136 yards on 7 catches.
Look for Nico to have a similar impact this week.
Brad Blakemore’s (7-3) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys into a big MNF matchup
Dak Prescott o254.5 passing yards (-115)
Fresh off a bye week and straight into prime time. The Cowboys won’t need Lady Luck to get things right after their loss to the Cardinals at home.
The Raiders defense is one QBs have picked apart this season. And Dak should be ready to enact revenge after three losses out of the Cowboys last four games. Even if they take an early lead I can see the Cowboys wanting to run up the score.
Danny Burke’s (7-3) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Bears / Vikings Under 48.5 (-115)
We all know J.J McCarthy is one of the worst quarterbacks in the league and he’s going up against an improving Bears defense. On the other side, Brian Flores will likely make Caleb Williams day extremely difficult. Look for a sloppy, lower scoring game in this division showdown.
Kate Constable’s (5-5) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Woody Marks Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Tennessee’s run defense continues to be a problem, and this matchup sets up perfectly for Woody Marks. The Titans are giving up the sixth-most rushing attempts and the fifth-most rushing yards to opposing backs, and no team has allowed more rushing touchdowns to the position. Yes, they held the Chargers’ run game in check last week, but that feels more like the outlier than the trend. Plus, it’s not like the Chargers have a dominant run game.
Before that, they got hit for 153 by Jonathan Taylor, 88 by Rhamondre Stevenson, and 75 by Ashton Jeanty. Marks has the volume and the burst to take advantage of a defense that routinely leaks yards, and this number sits low enough that one or two solid drives could push him over.
Adam Kaufman’s (8-2) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Ravens/Texans/Bills ML parlay (+131)
Is this allowed? If you guys want a straight, I’m feeling frisky about the Bengals and Giants with the points this week. I like the Chargers to cover the short spread, too.
BUT, if you want my favorite just-win spots (after my beloved Patriots, of course), I’ve grouped them together and removed sweating out a cover or three.
Ravens are in a wide-open division, with a chance to get back to .500 and increase their playoff probability. Lamar Jackson looks better by the week, the defense is healthy, and the Browns offense is anemic. FYI, Jackson is 9-4 ATS as a 7+ PT favorite in division games.
Texans will start Davis Mills in Tennessee, but unless the Titans counter with prime Steve McNair (RIP!), I don’t see how Houston falls to a team it already shutout earlier this season. Titans do nothing on either side of the field and they’re 1-11 ATS at home over their last dozen tries. Mills is more than serviceable.
Bills lost in embarrassing fashion at Miami, but they cannot afford to fall three games back of the Pats in the win column. Their division crown dynasty would be over. This is a get-right spot against a talented but massively injured Buccaneers squad.
Tristan Vieira’s (9-1) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Can Rodgers perform well Sunday and get the Steelers a massive victory?
Steelers -5.5 (-110)
Most definitely the sketchiest line on the board this week and I’m all over it.
Pittsburgh is coming off a crushing loss on prime time where they were dominated for the most part, not being able to amount much offense at all. This same Steelers team lost to this Bengals team in prime time as well just a month ago, as favorites. Yet find themselves almost a touchdown favorite in the rematch.
The line is entirely telling to me, give me Rodgers to get the job done at home by at-least a touchdown.
Sukh Brar’s (5-5) NFL Week 11 Best Bet
Seahawks +3.0 (-115)
Legion of Boom 2.0
Enjoy NFL Week 11!
You can also check out more free picks & analysis from every NFL Week 11 Matchup!
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