One of the best parts of the NFL is the plethora of prop bets across every single game. Every week we get 11 or more games, filled with multiple angles, player props, and multiple ways to win. It’s on us to get surgical.
Week 10 is upon us and with it comes so many different story lines. Kyler Murray will make his season debut for the Arizona Cardinals this week at home, joined by his teammate; James Conner, who’s been out since October 8th.
Josh Dobbs will make his first career start for his new team, the Vikings, and he’ll do it in front of the Vikings’ faithful.
Will Levis looks to stay hot in his third start, throwing for 500 yards, 4 touchdowns, and one interception in his first two games.
Both the Lions and Niners are on the road this week, one team looking for their second win in as many weeks (DET), and the other looking to stop a three game slide (SF).
So without building up too much hype, let’s get into our favorite player props for Week 10.
D. Hopkins o62.5 Rec Yards (-114) via Bovada
Hopkins has caught the ball eight times in his last two games, both coming with Levis under center. In those games, Hopkins was targets 17 times total, including 11 times in last week’s matchup with the Steelers.
Two weeks ago, in Levis’ debut; Hopkins went for 128 on just four catches, three being touchdowns. Last week he was just able to secure four catches on 11 targets for just 60 yards against the Steelers.
The Steeler’s defense, despite allowing 244.1 passing yards per game (24th), rank 3rd in opponent completion percentage (59.6%).
This week, Hopkins and Levis will matchup with a bottom five secondary in the Buccaneers.
Tampa allows a 68.7% completion rate (24th), and are giving up 274.9 passing yards per game (31st); including 206 yards per game to wideouts.
We’ve seen the Buccs give up big games to a lot of elite wide outs this year, while also giving up their share of big plays; allowing 7.9 yards per catch, and 14 yards per catch to wide receivers.
This porous secondary, combined with Hopkins high target share, really tells me we’ve got potential for a big game from DHop on Sunday.
D. Hopkins o62.5 Rec Yards (-114) via Bovada
B. Hall o65.5 Rush Yards (-130) via Bovada
Breece Hall this season is coming back from an ACL tear and has looked better than advertised this season.
His play has been mainly affected by the poor play of this Jets offense and the lack of a pass game. It’s been easy for opposing teams to game plan for the Jets with the focus mainly being on second year running back, Breece Hall.
Last week, Hall saw 16 rushing attempts for 50 yards in a 27-6 blowout loss against the Chargers. In fact, Hall has cleared this line just twice this season, but this week he gets one of his best matchups this year; the Raiders.
The Raiders are allowing the second most rush yards per game (138.7), including 117.8 per game, to opposing tail backs.
The Jets enter Sunday as a one point favorite against the Raiders, and Hall averages 90 yards per game in the four Jets’ wins this year.
Hall also averages 67.7 rush yards per game on the road, compared to just 58 per game at home.
The Raiders also rank 8th in passing yards allowed, and are tied for the fourth most interceptions in the NFL.
Robert Salah and the Jets will have to establish the run game if they expect to grab a win on Prime Time.
B. Hall o65.5 Rush Yards (-130) via Bovada
J. Reynolds o27.5 Rec Yards (-115) via Bovada
Reynolds is coming off his worst game of the season, a game in which he saw just one target despite being on the field for 71 of the teams 86 offensive snaps; 2nd only to Amon-ra and Laporta.
He’s been an integral part of this offense, and he’s averaging 49.6 yards per game; 60.5 per game on the road.
Last week the Lions faced off against the Raiders pass defense, who may not be elite, but rank in the top five in interceptions, and in the top 10 in opponent pass yards allowed.
This week the Lions’ are travelling to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers and their last ranked pass defense.
The Chargers are giving up 286 pass yards per game, and have given up 12 total touchdowns through the air; including 191 yards per game to opposing wideouts.
Reynolds is also averaging 12.39 yards per target, and he’s hit this line in six of eight games this season.
With the Lions pass game, there’s plenty of potential pass catchers, but with a line this low, I’m a big Josh Reynolds guy this week.
J. Reynolds o27.5 Rec Yards (-115) via Bovada
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