We’re entering the seventh week of the NFL season, and I think it’s time we take a moment to look at some updated Conference Championship odds.
We’ve gotten a large enough sample size of data, plenty of viewing and overall understanding of the remaining path for most teams. Particularly in the NFC – now is a great time to capitalize on futures odds.
So let’s dive into my NFC Championship Futures odds and bets as we head into NFL Week 7.
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NFC Championship Futures Odds & Betting Insights
Current NFC Championship Odds via BetOnline:
Green Bay Packers (+375)
Detroit Lions (+425)
Philadelphia Eagles (+550)
Los Angeles Rams (+700)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+750)
San Francisco 49ers (+1100)
Seattle Seahawks (+1200)
Washington Commanders (+1800)
Atlanta Falcons (+2200)
Minnesota Vikings (+3300)
Chicago Bears (+4000)
NFC Championship Futures Bet to Avoid

Is Jordan Love equipped to lead the Green Bay Packers on a Super Bowl run this season?
Green Bay Packers (+375)
The short shot on this list is a team I’m advising you to avoid – and it’s not just because I’m a Bears fan. I’ve been vocal since the preseason, and honestly for the past couple of years, that Jordan Love is not a Super Bowl-caliber quarterback. Sure, he shows flashes and performed well in the playoffs a couple of seasons ago, but I’m not sold. A lot of his success comes from the offensive mastermind Matt LaFleur, and even his own fans are starting to get frustrated with some of the play calling this season.
After the first two weeks of the NFL season, it seemed like everyone was ready to crown the Packers Super Bowl champions. Congratulations – you beat a division rival at home in their first game with brand new coordinators on both sides of the ball. Then you followed that with another home victory against the Commanders, winning 27-18 against a Washington team that was inevitably going to decline after an overachieving season last year.
What has happened since then? A loss to Joe Flacco and the Browns, 13-10; a tie (gross) at Dallas against the Cowboys, 40-40; and then a narrow victory after the bye week against Joe Flacco again – this time as a member of the Bengals – winning 27-18 thanks to Josh Jacobs’ efforts on the ground.
This team has repeatedly shown us their flaws, yet the market and the public continue to back them and price them as if those issues don’t exist. I’ll gladly pass on the favorite in this category.
NFC Championship Futures Bet to Take
Detroit Lions (+425)
Who cares that the Lions lost to the Chiefs last week, 30-17? That game meant far more to Kansas City than it did to Detroit. Heck, it might’ve been a different result if the Lions hadn’t had a touchdown wiped off the board on their opening drive. Nevertheless, nothing that transpired in that contest changed my view of what Dan Campbell’s crew is capable of achieving this season.
It would be quite the story if, after being the best team in the NFC last season – then falling short in their first playoff game – they lose both coordinators, enter the year with everyone expecting a decline, only to turn around and make a run to the Super Bowl the following season.
And I’ll be the first to admit – I wasn’t a believer in the Lions heading into this season. That’s not to say I thought they’d miss the playoffs or anything like that, but I did feel like their Super Bowl window had closed after losing both Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn.
Well, guess what? It took all of one game for them to get back into form. Sure, they lost to the Packers in the opener, but they bounced back with a 52-21 pummeling of the Bears, followed by an impressive 38-30 road win in Baltimore, an easy victory over the Browns, and another double-digit dub in Cincinnati, 37-24.
Last week’s game in Kansas City didn’t go their way – so be it. This Monday, they’re in a favorable spot against one of the luckiest teams in the NFL: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
And once the Lions beat a Bucs team that’s oddly propped up by the public, despite an average winning margin of just four points across five wins, we’ll see Detroit’s odds drop to a worse price.
BetOnline is currently dealing +425, and the best price I’ve seen in the market is +470. Anything at 4/1 or better is worth a bet.
The NFC is wide open right now, and the fact that this overrated, unreliable Packers team is sitting as the favorite tells you everything you need to know about the instability of the conference.
The redemption arc for this sturdy, motivated Lions team will be a fun one to watch unfold, and throwing some cash on it will make rooting for it that much sweeter.
Bet: Lions to Win the NFC (+425)
NFC Championship Futures Bet to Consider
Atlanta Falcons (22/1)
If you’re looking for more of a long shot and want to toss some “pizza money” on a sleeper, the Falcons might be your squad.
Naturally, this team will only go as far as Michael Penix Jr. takes them – as is the case with any team and their quarterback. But he won’t have to carry the load alone. The Falcons can lean on Bijan Robinson, Drake London, a strong supporting cast on offense, and, most importantly, their defense.
Atlanta ranks fifth in defensive EPA per play allowed, and they’re top-five in both dropback EPA and dropback success rate. While they’ve struggled a bit against the run, it’s not overly concerning. Overall, they’re giving up just 4.8 yards per play (tied for fifth-fewest in the league) and only 20 points per game (tied for seventh-fewest).
I’m not saying the Falcons are winning the Super Bowl, but at 22/1, they’ve got enough talent on both sides of the ball to make a deep run. We could absolutely find ourselves sitting on a 22/1 ticket with Atlanta in the NFC Divisional Round, and with a chance to hedge for profit.
The key here is recognizing just how wide open the NFC is, and why that creates value on teams like this. Atlanta’s worth monitoring. They could very well lose this Monday night at San Francisco, which might give us an even better number in the futures market. So depending on how you see that game playing out, it could help you decide whether to invest now, or wait for a better price.
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