Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Week 7 in the NFL

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Last week marked our first losing week for Kate’s Prop Shop, but let’s keep some perspective—we’re still 10-5 overall on the season, which means we’re firmly in the green long-term. Week 7 brings a handful of juicy matchups to target on the ground, so we’re locking in on rushing props for Drake Maye, Kyren Williams, and Quinshon Judkins.

Let’s bounce back and get back on the winning side of things this Sunday!

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

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Patriots QB Drake Maye O21.5 Rushing Yards vs. Titans (BetOnline, -114)

Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel makes his return to Tennessee this weekend to face the team that fired him. And while he’ll play it cool publicly, you know he’d love nothing more than to make a statement. Quarterback Drake Maye has been trending up each week, showing more confidence and command in this offense, and this matchup sets up nicely for him to keep that momentum rolling. Tennessee’s defense has been a mess, ranking 25th against the run and giving up an NFL-high 11 rushing touchdowns. I’m not necessarily expecting Maye to score, but he should have plenty of chances to use his legs to escape pressure and extend drives. The Titans also allow opponents to convert over 40% of their third downs, another stat that points to Maye picking up chunk yards on scrambles. He’s gone over this number in three of six games so far, and with New England’s offensive line capable of handling Tennessee’s front, this feels like another strong opportunity for him to do damage on the ground.

Rams RB Kyren Williams O69.5 Rushing Yards vs. Jaguars (BetOnline, -110)

With star receiver Puka Nacua ruled out for Sunday’s game in London, expect Kyren Williams to shoulder an even heavier load in the Rams offense. I already liked the over on his rushing prop before that news, and even with the number ticking up a few yards, I’m still all in. Williams has been the engine of this offense, and the Rams’ offensive line deserves a ton of credit, ranking first in PFF’s run-blocking grade and 12th in run block win rate. That gives them a clear edge over a Jaguars defense that sits middle of the pack at 14th in both yards and EPA allowed per rush. Jacksonville’s front has been solid, but Williams brings a different level of burst and balance than any back they’ve faced so far. With a bigger workload and favorable blocking up front, he’s got a strong chance to cruise past this number.

Browns RB Quinshon Judkins O20.5 Rushing Attempts vs. Dolphins (BetOnline, -115)

It’s going to be classic Cleveland football weather on Sunday—wet, windy, and gross. Forecasts are calling for heavy rain and wind gusts approaching 30 mph, which all but guarantees a run-heavy approach from both sides. That sets up perfectly for Browns RB Quinshon Judkins to see a big workload. Miami owns the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 168.5 rushing yards per game, and its front seven has been bullied in the trenches all season. With rookie QB Dillon Gabriel likely limited by the conditions, expect the Browns to keep the ball in Judkins’ hands early and often. This is also the first time Cleveland has been favored all year, which points to a positive game script—exactly the kind of setup where a physical runner like Judkins can rack up carries and help drain the clock.

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