Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Week 11 in the NFL

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Buffalo completely tanked our Week 10 card, with the offense disappearing against Miami, losing both the James Cook rushing over and the Dalton Kincaid receiving over. At least Jared Goff showed up, cruising past his passing line and salvaging a 1–2 week.

Even with the stumble, we’re sitting at 18–9 on the season, which is still a solid record heading into Week 11. This week I’m backing two running backs and a quarterback to get the job done for us.

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

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Texans RB Woody Marks Over 60.5 Rushing Yards vs. Titans (BetOnline, -113)

Tennessee’s run defense continues to be a problem, and this matchup sets up perfectly for Woody Marks. The Titans are giving up the sixth-most rushing attempts and the fifth-most rushing yards to opposing backs, and no team has allowed more rushing touchdowns to the position. Yes, they held the Chargers’ run game in check last week, but that feels more like the outlier than the trend. Plus, it’s not like the Chargers have a dominant run game. Before that, they got hit for 153 by Jonathan Taylor, 88 by Rhamondre Stevenson, and 75 by Ashton Jeanty. Marks has the volume and the burst to take advantage of a defense that routinely leaks yards, and this number sits low enough that one or two solid drives could push him over.

Packers RB Josh Jacobs Over 78.5 Rushing Yards vs. Giants (BetOnline, -110)

Green Bay’s offense has looked lost the last two weeks, dropping both games and barely finding the end zone, but this matchup sets up perfectly for Josh Jacobs to get things back on track. The Giants are elite against the pass but an absolute mess against the run, sitting 31st in rushing defense and giving up 152 yards per game along with a league-high 14 rushing touchdowns. Teams are consistently bullying them on the ground, and Jacobs is exactly the type of back who can take advantage of that. With the Packers needing a stabilizing force to get the offense back in rhythm, this feels like a “feed your workhorse” spot. I’ll trust Jacobs to be the one who gets them moving again.

Bears QB Caleb Williams Over 213.5 Passing Yards vs. Vikings (BetOnline, -115)

Caleb Williams has turned a corner the last couple of weeks, dragging the Bears to late-game wins over the Bengals and Giants with some real poise. He still hasn’t put together a full four quarters of high-level football, but you can see it building, and when he finally strings it all together, this number won’t stand a chance. Minnesota is the perfect opponent for that breakout. The Vikings are giving up completions of 20-plus yards at a league-worst 63.2%, which is a dangerous combination when you’re facing DJ Moore and Rome Odunze downfield. Chicago has the weapons to stress this secondary, and Williams has already shown he’s willing to take shots.

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