Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Week 10 in the NFL

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We walked out of Week 9 with a clean sweep, going 3-0 after cashing Alec Pierce’s longest reception, Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving yards, and the under on C.J. Stroud’s passing total. That last one hit only because Stroud exited early with a concussion, which obviously isn’t the way you want to win a bet, but it still goes in the win column.

That pushes us to 17-7 on the season, and we’re keeping the momentum rolling into this week. I’ve got a running back, a quarterback, and a tight end circled for overs, and all three spots set up nicely based on matchup and usage.

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.

Bills RB James Cook Over 86.5 Rushing Yards vs. Dolphins (BetOnline, -115)

Miami still can’t stop the run to save their lives, and nothing about this matchup suggests that magically changes on Sunday. The Dolphins are allowing 145.6 rushing yards per game, the fourth-worst mark in the league, and they just let Derrick Henry look like vintage Derrick Henry again with 119 yards on TNF. James Cook is in a perfect spot to exploit that. He’s coming off back-to-back 100-yard performances and has hit triple digits in five of eight games this season. He also gashed Miami for 108 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries back in Week 3, and now he’s coming off a career-high 28 touches against Kansas City. Everything points to another heavy workload and another big day on the ground.

Lions QB Jared Goff Over 249.5 Passing Yards vs. Washington Commanders (BetOnline, -112)

Washington’s defense is getting ripped through the air right now. They’re allowing around 268.6 passing yards per game, putting them firmly among the worst in the league. On top of that, Detroit’s offense is built to exploit exactly these kinds of weaknesses. Goff has thrown for 1,154 yards in his last five games, averaging over 230 yards per outing in a recent stretch. Meanwhile, the Commanders have been shaky at best at defending high-volume passing attacks and have gotten torched by strong arms recently. They just gave up 330 yards to Sam Darnold and 300 to Patrick Mahomes. With the Lions coming off a loss, they’ll have no problem continuing to throw downfield and run up the score even if they’re up big late.

Bills TD Dalton Kincaid Over 43.5 Receiving Yards vs. Dolphins (BetOnline, -110)

Dalton Kincaid has emerged as one of Buffalo’s most dependable pass-catchers, producing top-tier numbers at tight end even after missing time earlier this season. Miami has struggled badly against the position, consistently giving up explosive plays and sitting near the bottom of the league in efficiency allowed to tight ends. Six different TEs have already topped 59 yards against the Dolphins, which says plenty about how generous this matchup is. Kincaid already put up 66 yards and a score on this defense earlier in the season, and he’s rolling into Week 10 after a 101-yard performance against Kansas City. All signs point to another strong receiving day.

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