Kate’s Prop Shop: The Best Props for Week 9 in the NFL

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Outside of Tampa Bay randomly forgetting they employ one of the best running backs on the planet—torpedoing Bijan Robinson’s rushing prop—we still closed out Week 8 with another strong showing. Tez Johnson cashed his over on 3.5 receptions with five grabs on six targets, and Jonathan Taylor reminded everyone he’s still that dude, cruising past his 100.5-yard mark. That gave us a 2-1 finish and pushed the season tally to 14-7.

After a few weeks of living in the running back market, we’re switching things up and attacking quarterback and receiver props for Week 9. And honestly? I love the spots we found, so let’s keep the momentum rolling!

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.

Colts WR Alec Pierce Longest Reception Over 21.5 Yards (BetOnline, -115)

Alec Pierce has become Daniel Jones’ go-to vertical threat, and this number feels a little too low for the role he plays. He’s hit the over in eight straight games dating back to last season, and the explosive plays keep stacking up—this year alone he’s posted receptions of 50, 48, 26, 44, and 36 yards. The Colts scheme specifically builds in a few deep shots each week, and Pierce is almost always the first read on those concepts thanks to his speed and ability to separate downfield. All it takes is one clean connection, and given his track record and continued involvement, he’s in a strong position to cash this prop again.

Texas QB CJ Stroud Under 225.5 vs. Broncos (BetOnline, -114)

This is a rough matchup for C.J. Stroud, and the number feels a little too generous given the circumstances. Houston’s offensive line hasn’t shown it can hold up against a competent pass rush, and Denver’s front is going to be in his lap all afternoon. The Broncos rank seventh in pass defense and have been tightening up their coverage with more disguised looks and pressure packages. Stroud is talented, but without protection and with Denver forcing shorter, quicker throws, it’s hard to see him settling in or stacking explosive plays. This sets up as more of a survival game for him than a yardage game, making the under the smarter side.

Lions WR Amon Ra St. Brown Over 76.5 Receiving Yards vs. Vikings (BetOnline, -118)

Against Brian Flores’ blitz-heavy defense, Jared Goff is going to have to get the ball out fast, and nobody benefits from that more than Amon-Ra St. Brown. He consistently carves up Minnesota—topping 100 yards in three of his last four meetings, and even in the “down” game, he still hit 77. With JJ McCarthy back under center for the Vikings, I’m not expecting a clean performance from Minnesota’s offense. A turnover or two feels likely, which gives Detroit extra possessions and more chances for St. Brown to pile up yards. If this game tilts toward a blowout early, he’ll be one of the main reasons why.

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