It’s Thanksgiving in the AFC North and we’ve got a big time matchup between the Bengals and the Ravens. Both teams need the win and both teams are vying for that top spot in the division, let’s jump right into it.
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Game Information

Matchup Information
- Location:M&T Bank Stadium; Baltimore, Maryland
- Date: Thursday, November 27th, 2025
- Kickoff: 8:20 PM EST
Quarterback Matchup
- Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow (9-8; 2024 – 289.3 YPG | 43 TD | 9 INT)
- Baltimore Ravens: Lamar Jackson (12-5; 2024 – 245.4 YPG | 41 TD | 4 INT)
Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Analysis & Breakdown

Joey B is Back
Joe Burrow is back for the Cincinnati Bengals and what a perfect time to make his return to the field. Both the Bengals and Ravens will be playing in their first Thanksgiving Day Game in over a decade. The Bengals last played on Thanksgiving in Novemeber of 2025, back when Carson Palmer was under center.
Burrow and company are set to make their Turkey Day debut and they’ll need all hands on deck if they’re going to make a push for the postseason. Ja’Marr Chase will make his return to the the field after his one game suspension but the Bengals will be without their other star receiver; Tee Higgins. Higgins suffered a concussion in the team’s Week 12 matchup with Pittsburgh and will be re-evaluated early next week.
Chase is averaging 11.7 targets per game this year, pulling in 7.9 rec/game and averaging 86.1 receiving yards per game. He’s scored five touchdowns in 10 games and has looked great despite being without his QB1 for almost the entire year.
The offense has been okay for Cincinnati, it’s been their defense that continues to lose them games. The Bengals rank dead last in points allowed (32.7/game), 28th in opponent redzone efficiency, 31st in opponent third down conversion rate and bottom two in both rushing and passing yards allowed. They’re giving up 4.5 redzone scoring chances per game and allowing 3.9 touchdowns per game. It’s been ugly in Cincinnati.
Top Dogs in the North
Despite losing five of their first six games, the Ravens sit tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers for top spot in the AFC North at 6-5. The Ravens have now won five straight games, four of which have come with Lamar under center. Jackson’s averaging 199.4 pass yards per game this year with 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s got a passer rating of 111.0 but this Ravens offense has lacked explosiveness through the air this year.
Baltimore ranks 29th in pass yards, but 6th in rush yards. Their biggest problems on the offensive side come once they get into the redzone. The Ravens ranks 9th in redzone trips per game but 30th in redzone efficiency. The offense is converting just 46.3% of their redzone trips into touchdowns and it’s gotten even worse recently. In their last three games, Baltimore’s 3rd in redzone trips per game (4.7) but 26th in conversion rate (35.7%).
If the Ravens are looking to make a late season push for the division, they can’t continue to leave points on the board. Four of Baltimore’s five straight wins came against team’s with losing records and this week they’ll face off a Bengals team that just got their QB1 back. The Ravens will need to score points and it’s why we’re getting a total at 52 for a divisional matchup on primetime.
Lastly, the other big reason Baltimore needs to score; their terrible defense. If you just look at the stats, you’d see Baltimore ranks 17th in points allowed, 16th in opponent redzone efficiency and just 24th in pass yards allowed. Before this stretch of bad opponents, the Ravens were being lit up through the air. They’ve been decimated by injuries and their pass rush has been all but non-existent.
With Burrow back under center, the Ravens will need to make sure they can match Cincinnati offensively.
Thursday’s Best Bet
Zay Flowers o69.5 Receiving Yards (+105) | BetOnline

Going back to Zay this week because he’s just seeing such a high target share in this offense I can’t ignore it. Flower’s is garnering 28% of the Ravens’ targets this year and has more than double the next wide receiver. He’s averaging 69.2 receiving yards per game this year and he’s cleared this line just twice in the last five games.
Three of the five games would end as double digit wins for the Ravens and the need to pass just wasn’t there. Lamar’s thrown the ball over 25 times just once in his four games since returning and it’s been because of bad competition. This week the Ravens will face off with a Bengals team has their back against the wall. Losing to the Ravens this week would mark the end of any playoff hopes and it’s why we’re seeing Burrow make his return.
The Bengals are going to score points this week and with the Ravens coming in as a 7-point favorite; they’ll need to move the ball through air if they hope to cover this spread.
Cincinnati ranks dead last in passing yards allowed and are a bottom-five defense in first-down-plus-touchdown rate allowed while in man (51.8%) and zone (39.0%). Look for Flowers to make a big splash on Turkey Day.
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