Well, we have come to Conference Championship weekend, where teams are one step away from the ultimate prize: Lifting the Lombardi Trophy.
It’s win or go home and there will be touchdowns galore!
In these 2 games this weekend, who is scoring a Touchdown?
As always, here is my analysis, 2 ATTD scorers from each game and a parlay for the Conference Championship Games!
Let’s get it!
Who doesn’t love touchdowns?
But what is better than seeing all those touchdowns, is to bet on the guy who scores it!
It is the most exciting play in football and it has become one of the most fun bets to make every NFL Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, or Monday.
I love this market because it is a fun bet but also can be incredibly profitable if you pick your spots wisely.
For example, most guys that are very likely to score are very juiced, between -145 all the way up to -190.
But most other guys are + money. And some very high plus money.
It isn’t a guaranteed stat line like some other props but as we go along in the season, I am going to do my best to find guys who have a great chance to score and it will almost always be plus money!
I will be doing this every week so stick around and let’s have some fun every week!
This is how it is going to work:
I will update this piece every week with my 4 favorite spots for guys to break the plane and at the end, parlay them all together for a little extra spice.
I will bet them all straight for 1 unit and then put 0.25 on the parlay.
You decide how you want to play it but that is how I am going to do it.
Glad you’re here, let’s get to ATTD business.
ALL ODDS AND PARLAYS AVAILABLE HERE
1. Deebo Samuel ATTD (+170)
In the NFC Championship Game, I love the value we are getting on one of the best playmakers on the field to break the plane.
Deebo is an obvious threat on the ground or through the air and a game that will be tight all the way through, I suspect Kyle Shanahan will want to get Deebo the ball in every way possible.
For the +185 value, I love for the Niners to do everything they can to get Deebo the ball in the red zone.
2. Jalen Hurts ATTD (+125)
For the Eagles, I can’t not take Hurts at the great +125 value.
Hurts is always a threat in the red zone to tuck it and run at any time and I expect there will be plenty of chances for Hurts to rumble across the plane.
He scored last week against the Giants in the Divisional Round and anytime the Eagles get inside the 20, he will have atleast 2-3 designed runs to score with his legs.
For +125, I love Hurts.
3. Jerrick McKinnon (+155)
McKinnon has scored a TD in 6 of his last 7 games.
I know he is bound to not score every single game but his usage, especially in the red zone is undeniable.
He has become one of Patrick Mahomes favorite red zone targets and has the trust of Andy Reid, Eric Bienemy, and most importantly, Mahomes.
He is a mismatch out of the backfield and the Bengals linebackers will struggle to cover the shifty back out of the backfield.
With Mahomes not being 100%, I could see plenty of short, quick passes and screens to WRs and McKinnon to allow for run after the catch.
4. Joe Burrow ATTD (+500)
In what should be a tight one in Arrowhead on Sunday night, let’s finish this off with a bit of a long shot that I love for the value.
Burrow scored a touchdown in the matchup with the Chiefs earlier this season and I see him having a chance to scramble around again and get into the end zone.
The Chiefs will want to pressure Burrow to get him off of his spot and when the Bengals get in the red zone, Burrow is always a threat to run it in himself.
For +500, worth a bet.
Conference Title ATTD Parlay
(+8064) BetOnline
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- Deebo Samuel
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- Jalen Hurts
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- Jerrick McKinnon
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- Joe Burrow
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- Jerrick McKinnon
What is an ATTD bet and why to take it?
This market has gained a lot of popularity over the past few seasons.
And why not, who doesn’t love betting on Touchdowns?
It’s a popular bet because it doesn’t require any other stats, except scoring a Touchdown.
I know it sounds easy and honestly, it is.
It’s a fun market to bet on and the reason why it is fun is because of the value.
The books set the touchdown lines based on matchups and recent form. For every game, most players will be around -110 or plus money.
80% of players in the game will be +100 or higher which is great value.
Every skill position player on every play has a chance to score a touchdown and there are lots of players that are +500 or higher.
You won’t find value like that for a single bet that always has a chance to hit.
I love betting this market, for the reasons listed above and most of all, I love Touchdowns! Follow along all season with me to find the value for guys to break the plane!
Enjoy the Conference Championships this weekend! It’s gonna be fun.
Follow me on Twitter @SweatpantsJesus and @BN_Content for more props, sports news and overall vibes.
Also, I host AFTERNOON BETSPRESSO on Twitch every Thursday Afternoon to go over the slate of games and talk about my favorite bets with my fellow sports bettor and hockey sharp @WMMacMiller!
We want to hear your best plays as well and discuss the winning moves!
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Come hang with me and find the value! Look forward to seeing you there! Thanks for stopping by and as always, Peace and Love.
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- Jalen Hurts
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- Deebo Samuel
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