2025 NFL MVP: Odds Update | November 10, 2025

Is there value in taking Sam Darnold to win MVP?

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• Drake Maye +325 –> +300
• Matthew Stafford +1600 –> +300
• Jonathan Taylor +1400 –> +450
• Patrick Mahomes +145 –> +600
• Josh Allen +385 –> +700
• Sam Darnold +800
• Jalen Hurts +1800
• Jordan Love +1200 –> +2200

Previous odds were from Monday, October 30, 2025

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It has been a few weeks since I have done an NFL MVP update, and after the performance yesterday morning by Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, I figured it was the perfect time to once again talk about the worst award in professional sports. Why is it such a bad award? Because it is, for all intents and purposes, a quarterback award. No other position truly has a chance unless it is a record-breaking season. That feels pointless. If it is only for quarterbacks, just change the name of the award. Sure, the quarterback position is valuable, but a mediocre season at that position should not outweigh an iconic one at another.

Since 2000, 22 of the 26 MVP winners have been quarterbacks. For those checking the math, 2003 had co-winners. The four others were running backs. Over time, that position has lost respect, and I think Jonathan Taylor deserves more push from the media. The season he is on pace for could be one of the greatest ever.

The six-year pro has made opposing defenses’ lives a living hell. He is coming off a 286-yard performance in Berlin, where he rushed for three touchdowns, including the overtime game winner. That marked his fifth three-touchdown game this season. He remains on pace for nearly 30 touchdowns and close to 2,000 rushing yards. If Taylor somehow surpasses LaDainian Tomlinson’s single-season record of 31 touchdowns, he should rightfully take home the award.

I will go back to a comparison I made a few weeks ago. Baseball fans were arguing that Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh should win AL MVP if he broke Aaron Judge’s AL home run record. He did not surpass Judge, but the same logic should apply here. If Taylor breaks a 19-year-old touchdown record, he deserves to be at the center of the MVP conversation.

Taylor will need to maintain this pace and stay healthy, but I think he should be the odds leader right now. The Offensive Player of the Year award is a consolation prize. The most valuable player as of November 10, 2025, is Jonathan Taylor. He brings balance, explosion, and consistency to this Colts offense and makes Daniel Jones’ job infinitely easier.

Where is the Value?

I grabbed Taylor at +1800 two weeks ago, and the market has already cut his odds by more than half. A few others on the board still offer value, and the one that stands out is Seattle quarterback Sam Darnold. I regret not taking his prop yesterday before the beatdown the Seahawks handed the Cardinals, but I still think eight-to-one is a fair number. There might be a better price somewhere, but with how sharp Seattle looks and how confidently Darnold is operating that offense, he has a legitimate chance to rise quickly in the MVP odds. Especially with upcoming games against Tennessee, Minnesota, and Atlanta.

As of this writing, Darnold ranks seventh in passing yards, tied for seventh in touchdowns, tied for sixth in fewest interceptions, and first in quarterback rating, all while leading Seattle to a share of the best record in the NFC alongside the Rams.

If you have not jumped into the MVP market yet, Darnold is the move. There is still value to grab, and the way Seattle is rolling, he has a real chance to steal this award.