New York Giants: As another NFL season kicks off, it’s always fascinating to see the range of expectations across the league. Some teams have their eyes on the Lombardi Trophy, others are aiming for steady improvement, and a few are simply bracing for impact and attempting to hold on for dear life. Which category do the New York Giants fall into? Let’s dig in with my season preview and a best bet on their win total for the upcoming season.
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2025 New York Giants Future Odds
Can Malik Nabers do enough to help improve this Giants offense in 2025?
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Super Bowl Winner: 200/1
NFC Winner: 125/1
NFC East Winner: 22/1
Win Total: Over 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 (-125)
New York Giants 2025 Win Total Analysis
Following a 3-14, fourth-place finish in the division last season, the G-Men’s quarterback room looks completely different heading into this year. Russell Wilson is set to be the starter, with fan favorite Jameis Winston slotted into second string and then rookie Jaxson Dart following behind. With that mix of experience and youth, the team will have plenty of options to turn to during what could be a tumultuous season.
The surrounding cast on offense has some weapons, including emerging star receiver Malik Nabers, who’s entering his sophomore season, along with the speedy Wan’Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton. Tyrone Tracy Jr. emerged as a solid backfield option last year, and he’ll be joined by Devin Singletary and rookie Cam Skattebo.
Sure, there are a few skill players to be excited about, but will Wilson have enough time to consistently get them the ball, and can the line open lanes for the tailbacks? PFF ranks the Giants’ offensive line 28th in the NFL. Left tackle Andrew Thomas headlines that bunch, but he’s struggled to stay on the field.
Defensive Woes
Just about everything went wrong for the Giants last year, and much of it stemmed from their awful defense. They ranked 29th in EPA allowed, 28th in Success Rate allowed, and gave up the fifth-most yards per play (5.6).
Despite adding some solid defensive pieces in the draft, I’m not expecting those additions to have an immediate, drastic impact.
Scary Schedule
What’s most peculiar about the Giants’ upcoming season is just how brutal their schedule looks. Normally, when you finish as one of the worst teams in the NFL, you expect a softer slate the following year. Not the case for Coach Brian Daboll’s group.
The Giants open with two road division games, then return home to face the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers.
Week 1 – at Washington
Week 2 – at Dallas
Week 3 – vs Kansas City
Week 4 – vs Los Angeles
Week 5 – at New Orleans
Week 6 – vs Philadelphia
Week 7 – at Denver
Week 8 – at Philadelphia
Week 9 – vs San Francisco
Week 10 – vs Chicago
Week 11 – vs Green Bay
Week 12 – at Detroit
Week 13 – at New England
Week 14 – BYE
Week 15 – vs Washington
Week 16 – vs Minnesota
Week 17 – at Las Vegas
Week 18 – vs Dallas
Sure, Week 5 against the Saints looks winnable, but it’s still on the road. After that, they host the defending champs, then head to Denver and Philly, all before grinding through a gauntlet leading to a very late bye in Week 14.
This is a cruel setup for a team already on shaky ground. There’s a very real chance they start 0-4, prompting fans and media to push for a quarterback change to Winston or Dart – only adding more turmoil and distraction to the locker room.
I see only three games that could be considered truly favorable for the Giants. In Week 5, they’re on the road against a Saints team that could end up the worst in the NFL. After the bye in Week 14, they host the Commanders for the second time, a spot that gives them a fair shot. The following week, they host a Vikings team I think is overrated.
If you want to be generous, toss in Week 17 at Las Vegas, but I expect the Raiders to be much improved and have the edge. Even if we give the Giants that one, that’s still only four wins. Where are the other two coming from?
Russell Wilson is past his prime, Winston is fun but wildly inconsistent, the offensive line is a mess and the defense remains a liability. Don’t overthink it – the Giants may be scrappy enough to cover spreads, but they’re not winning more than 5.5 games this season.
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