Close games have been a hallmark of San Jose State’s season to date. Five of their six games have been decided by seven or fewer points. Will there be another tight tilt for San Jose State vs. Utah State tomorrow night in Logan (9:00 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)?.
More of those close games have not gone San Jose State’s way, including last Saturday’s 35-28 loss at Wyoming. Less than five minutes into the second quarter, the Spartans held a 28-14 lead. But they did not score again, and the Cowboys scored three fourth-quarter touchdowns, including two in the final three minutes, to rally for the win.
Despite the loss, it was another big game for redshirt sophomore receiver Danny Scudero. Scudero caught 10 passes for 180 yards and all four of the Spartans’ touchdowns.
Scudero leads the nation’s in receiving yards (845) and receiving touchdowns (eight) and ranks second in catches (50). The Sacramento State transfer has formed quite the connection with quarterback Walker Eget (1,809 passing yards, 13 TD, 3 INT).
However, San Jose State may be without both vs. Utah State. Both Scudero and Eget listed as questionable for tomorrow night’s game.
Do those potential absences tip the scales definitively in favor of the Aggies? Read on for our San Jose State vs. Utah State prediction and picks, which are accompanied by the best value odds from top online sportsbooks such as BetOnline.
San Jose State vs. Utah State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose State | +3.5 (-115) | +145 | Over 63.5 (-110) |
| Utah State | -3.5 (-105) | -165 | Under 63.5 (-110) |
San Jose State vs. Utah State Betting Trends
- San Jose State is 3-3 ATS this season, including 2-1 ATS on the road.
- The Spartans are 0-2 SU and 2-0 ATS as an underdog this season, losing but covering at Texas (38-7 loss as a 37-point underdog) and at Stanford (30-29 loss as a three-point underdog).
- The over is 4-2 in San Jose State’s games this season, with hits in four straight games.
- Utah State is 5-1 ATS this season, with its first missed cover coming in last week’s loss at Hawaii.
- The Aggies are 3-0 SU and ATS at home.
- Utah State is 2-1 SU and ATS as a favorite this season, including 2-0 SU and ATS at home.
- The over is 4-2 in Utah State’s games this season, with hits in each of their first two Mountain West games.
San Jose State vs. Utah State Prediction and Picks
Prediction: Utah State to win
Both Scudero and Eget are listed as questionable, but they played through their injuries against Wyoming. The optimistic outlook is that both will play even with a shortened time to heal up. That is even after playing on the road Saturday night, traveling the 1100+ miles back from Laramie, Wyoming, then turning around for an 800-mile trip for a Friday night game.
Currently, both are not listed in receiver or quarterback props at Lucky Rebel. But both do feature in the touchdown scorer props, and the total remains well into the 60s. So, take that as you will.
If both do play, San Jose State should at least play it close vs. Utah State. The Spartans’ lone blowout loss came at Texas. They led in the fourth quarter in their losses to Central Michigan, Stanford, and Wyoming. And in the latter two, they led by double digits in the final quarter.
Couple that with Utah State’s defensive struggles, and this would be a great spot to take the road underdog were Scudero and Eget certain to play.
In Saturday’s 44-26 loss at Hawaii, pre-game odds favored the Aggies by a hair but they fell on the road yet again after allowing a quarterback to go off yet again. This time, it was Micah Alejado, who threw for 413 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Warriors to the win at home.
But Utah State should remain undefeated at home, even if Scudero and Eget play. Their offense has been productive and even managed 22 points against a Texas A&M defense that has allowed only 36 points in three SEC games. Another productive performance should lead them over a San Jose State team that has not shown it can be trusted in crunch time.
San Jose State vs. Utah State Picks
1) Utah State Team Total Over 34.5 Points (+116 at Lucky Rebel)
There are perhaps some lingering concerns about the health of Utah State QB Bryson Barnes, who did not play the entire game at Hawaii after suffering a shoulder injury at Vanderbilt prior to the Aggies’ bye week.
But there don’t seem to be any negative reports emerging this week, which indicates that Barnes should be able to go just fine for Utah State vs. San Jose State.
Barnes (1,318 passing yards and 12 touchdowns and 309 rushing yards and six touchdowns) is having a strong season, and running back Miles Davis (546 total yards and six total touchdowns) is hitting the right notes as the featured back. San Jose State’s defense has been good against the run since allowing 236 yards against Central Michigan to open the season, but they have allowed 300+ passing yards in four of six games.
Ultimately, Utah State should not have a great deal of trouble moving the ball and scoring points, even if San Jose State’s defense shows up early like it has in most of their games. In any event, I’m happy to take a little risk at these odds.
2) San Jose State/Utah State Over 63.5 Points (-110 at BetOnline)
I would also take San Jose State’s team total, but I figured that opting for the game total over their total would be the move.
Do note that I operate with optimism that Scudero and Eget will play. But I do recommendation that if you do lock this in early, do so at a book that allows early cashouts. That way, you will have room to change your mind and change your bet if negative news emerges before kickoff.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see it go over no matter what, but confidence is certainly much higher if San Jose State’s two stars are available.
3) Danny Scudero to Score 2+ Touchdowns (+150 at Bovada)
This also comes with optimism about Scudero’s availability. If he plays, expect him to heavily factor, especially with Utah State’s porous pass defense.
Scudero has found the end zone in four of six games this season, and in addition to last weekend’s four-score game at Wyoming, he had two touchdown catches against Stanford.
Against a unit that is not faring well against aerial attacks, Scudero should add to his stellar stats if he takes the field.
While his yards prop is not on the board yet, it is possible that it could be before kickoff. If it is, the over is the likely play no matter what the number is. Scudero has hit the century mark in every game but one, and when he has hit the century mark, he has 189, 130, 135, 151, and 180 yards.
Also, he has at least six catches in every game and has averaged 18.0 yards per catch or more in four of six games. If he plays, Utah State will have a real handful to deal with.
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