Ohio vs. Buffalo: Player Prop Predictions | November 28, 2025

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The dual threat QB for the Bobcats looks to win a bowl game this season

Friday Morning MACtion delivers a perfect blend of urgency and chaos as Ohio and Buffalo close out their regular seasons. Championship stakes, senior day emotion, and two teams pushing toward very different goals should give us a fast start and an even faster finish. Ohio enters with everything to play for, while Buffalo aims to spoil the party on its home field. It sets the stage for a matchup built for live drama and strong betting angles.

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Write Up Transparency

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Week 13 Results: 5-2 (+6.88u)

2025 Season Record: 51-52-2 (+6.14u)

Ohio vs. Buffalo Odds

Can the Bulls show up and show out on senior night?

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Spread

  • Ohio: -7 (-110)
  • Buffalo: +7 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Ohio: -255
  • Buffalo: +211

Total

  • Over: 44 (-115)
  • Under: 44 (-105)

Ohio vs. Buffalo – November 28

Welcome into Friday Morning MACtion, with conference championship implications and senior days looming, this Ohio versus Buffalo matchup should fully deliver. Both teams will be fighting for a win to close out their regular seasons. The Bobcats are eyeing a conference championship berth, while the Bulls are eyeing a senior day victory to finish with a win on their home field. Ohio enters as a seven point road favorite, this should be an awesome start to our day. Let’s get into it.

Sling the Pill!

We are going back to the well after last week’s incredible performance against Miami of Ohio. Buffalo quarterback Ta’ Quan Roberson is due for another big game through the air. Last week the senior threw for 303 yards in the Bulls 37 to 20 loss. The books set his pass yards prop at 190.5 and this week it is only six yards more.

This feels similar to Tuesday’s prop with Eastern Michigan quarterback Noah Kim. His pass yards number was low because Western Michigan seemed like it had a strong pass defense, but underneath those numbers, they were never truly tested. That is exactly how I feel about the Ohio Bobcats defense.

On the year, Ohio has seen the 19th fewest passes per game, while allowing only 196 yards per game through the air. However, only 46% of their opponents plays are pass plays. They have benefitted all year by facing only one MAC team that actually commits to the pass. That team is Eastern Michigan, which throws the ball around 33 times per game. Kim had 259 yards in that matchup.

Across conference play, the Bobcats are seeing only 25 pass attempts per game on average. Eastern Michigan was the only true pass heavy opponent they faced. The other pass first teams in the MAC are Akron and Buffalo. Roberson and the Bulls sit near 55% pass plays, attempting around 36 per game. In conference play, Roberson is averaging 272 yards per game. Yes, I did ladder his pass yards as high as they would go. If you like this prop, you are almost pushed in that direction.

Playing From Behind

Another reason I love this spot is because the Bulls should be trailing. The Bobcats will be fighting and clawing for their path to the conference championship. With the Bulls sitting as seven point home dogs on senior day, they are fully expected to be playing from behind the entire game. I also expect Roberson to throw an interception or two. He has thrown at least one in five straight games. Turnovers only help this prop and the laddered versions when a team is chasing points.

In what could possibly be my final college football player prop write up, I hope the Bulls are trailing from start to finish, fighting to get back into this matchup. Whether you ladder or not, having Roberson’s prop below 200 yards feels like an absolute insult. It is far too low and these numbers remain mispriced.

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