Early in the season, it looked like FSU vs. Clemson would have a significant say in the ACC championship race. However, that will not be the case, as the Seminoles and Tigers are set to face off in the Disappointment Bowl tomorrow night (7:00 p.m. ET, ACC Network).
That this game has been relegated to the ACC Network should tell you all you need to know about how these two teams are faring right now.
After suffering four straight losses to start ACC play, the Seminoles (4-4, 1-4 ACC) got on the board last weekend with a 42-7 win over Wake Forest.
FSU already has twice as many wins as it did last season, but when they opened the season with a win over Alabama and were ranked in the top 10 after a 3-0 start, this is not the level of progress they were on course to have.
Clemson (3-5, 2-4 ACC), meanwhile, needs to win tomorrow and next Saturday at No. 15 Louisville (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) to even salvage a .500 record in conference play. As it is, they will finish with fewer than nine wins for the first time since 2010, Dabo Swinney’s second full season as head coach.
While this FSU vs. Clemson matchup certainly does not have the luster of some of their past contests, it is still a rivalry matchup and does carry significance for both teams even if there are no ACC title or College Football Playoff implications involved.
Will the Tigers end their home losing streak, or will the Seminoles win a road game for the first time in nearly two years? Read on for our FSU vs. Clemson prediction and best bets. Also, get the best betting odds from top online sportsbooks such as BetOnline.
FSU vs. Clemson Betting Trends
- FSU is 4-4 against the spread this season, including 1-4 ATS in ACC play.
- The Seminoles are 1-1 SU and ATS as an underdog this season, covering and winning against Alabama and failing to cover in a home loss to Miami.
- The over is 5-3 in FSU’s games this season, but the under is 3-2 in the Seminoles’ conference games.
- Clemson is 4-4 against the spread this season, including 2-4 ATS in ACC play.
- The Tigers are 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of five or fewer points.
- There is an even split of four overs and four unders in Clemson’s games this season, but the over is 4-1 in the Tigers’ last five games.
FSU vs. Clemson Prediction and Best Bets
Prediction: Clemson to win
Against Duke last Saturday, Clemson scored a season-high 45 points. But it was not enough to avoid a third straight home loss, as Darian Mensah and the Blue Devils had the last word in a wild 46-45 win.
The Tigers are now 0-3 at home in conference play and 1-4 at home overall this season, which is mind-boggling.
Against Duke, Cade Klubnik returned after missing the SMU loss and threw for a career-high 385 yards, and he led Clemson back from a 21-7 deficit to the verge of victory.
But Mensah matched him with 361 passing yards and four scores, and after scoring in the final minute, the Blue Devils went for two and got it to retake the lead for good.
Clemson outgained Duke by 121 yards, but once again, the defense struggled at home after allowing 34 points and 433 yards to Syracuse and 35 points and 429 yards against SMU.
FSU allowed only 247 yards against Wake Forest, but can they be trusted to deliver another stout showing vs. Clemson?
It’s unlikely, but at least the Seminoles should be able to generate some offense against a struggling defense.
Will it be enough for FSU to extend Clemson’s home losing streak? That is also unlikely, because as rough as things may be for Clemson right now, there’s no reason whatsoever to trust a team that has not won a road game since November 2023.
FSU vs. Clemson Best Bets
1) Clemson Team Total Over 28.5 Points (-118 at Lucky Rebel)
Scoring has been up and down for the Tigers, but FSU’s defense is unimpressive, despite surrendering just 540 yards combined against Stanford and Wake Forest.
2) Thomas Castellanos (FSU) Over 239.5 Passing Yards (-115 at Bovada)
The one positive for Clemson’s defense is that it is one of the ACC’s best against the run, allowing 3.5 yards per attempt and 105.8 yards per game.
The rushing yards have also dried up for Castellanos after he had 50+ rushing yards in four of his first five games this season.
So, things line up well for Castellanos to air it out with results like his last five games, as he threw for at least 242 yards in each game.
3) Clemson -1 (-110 at BetOnline)
I most definitely do not recommend putting a substantial amount of your bankroll on the spread or moneyline no matter whose side you are on for FSU vs. Clemson.
But after losing three consecutive games at home in conference play, the Tigers should break the skid tomorrow night with a victory over the rival Seminoles.
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