After an ugly home loss to Texas Tech, Utah bounced back in the best way possible by mauling West Virginia by 34 points in Morgantown last time out. After a welcome week off, Utah will look to put on a better show at home this Saturday vs. #21 Arizona State (10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) in a matchup of two 4-1 teams.
The Utes (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) are back in action this week after the first bye week of the season. Prior to the bye, Utah throttled West Virginia 48-14. Quarterback Devon Dampier accounted for 270 total yards and five total touchdowns, and Utah led 35-0 early in the third quarter before the Mountaineers finally scored.
Arizona State (4-1, 2-0 Big 12) is also back in action after a week off. Prior to their bye week, the Sun Devils edged TCU 27-24 in their third game decided in the final minutes.
ASU is one of four teams currently at 2-0 in Big 12 play, with the others being #9 Texas Tech (5-0, 2-0 Big 12), #18 BYU (5-0, 2-0 Big 12), and unranked Cincinnati (4-1, 2-0 Big 12).
With the carnage that may occur in the Big 12 this season, a loss will cause only so much detriment to Arizona State’s Big 12 Championship Game chances.
But with Texas Tech visiting Tempe a week from Saturday (4:00 p.m. ET, FOX), the Sun Devils need to come away from Salt Lake City with three wins from three conference games. Will they do so? Read on for our Arizona State vs. Utah prediction and best bets, as well as the best odds from top sports betting sites such as BetOnline and Bovada.
Arizona State vs. Utah Betting Trends
- Arizona State is 3-2 against the spread this season, including 1-0 as an underdog.
- The Sun Devils are 15-4 SU and ATS since the start of the 2024 season.
- The under has hit in each of Arizona State’s last four games.
- Utah is 4-1 against the spread this season.
- The over is 3-2 in Utah’s games this season.
Arizona State vs. Utah Prediction and Best Bets
Prediction: Arizona State to win
Arizona State has already successfully navigated a couple of tough games against highly-rated quarterbacks in the Big 12, winning on the road against Sawyer Robertson and at home against Josh Hoover and TCU.
Saturday’s showdown in SLC brings another matchup with a highly-rated signal caller, but it is a test of a different kind. While Robertson and Hoover are more renowned for what they can do aerially, Dampier is a dynamic athlete able to rack up rushing yards. His high thus far this season is 86 at Wyoming, but it is only a matter of time before he hits triple digits for the first time in 2025.
Arizona State has been very good against the run, so there can be some cautious optimism about how they can handle what Dampier and running backs Wayshawn Parker and Naquari Rogers can do for Utah.
Utah had a comprehensive win at West Virginia last time out, but the loss to Texas Tech still sticks out. In that loss, the Utes turned the ball over four times. On the other side, the Sun Devils have eight takeaways in their last three games, and as was the case against Baylor and TCU, turnovers can tip the scales in favor of Arizona State vs. Utah.
Picking against the Utes at home is a risk, especially when they are running the ball so well, even without Dampier putting up huge numbers.
But the Sun Devils have pulled out a couple of close games against good opposition, and while I don’t think that they will roll the Utes like Texas Tech did, I see Arizona State getting the dub vs. Utah in this one.
Arizona State vs. Utah Best Bets
1) Arizona State +6 (-113 at Lucky Rebel)
While I like Arizona State to win outright and recommend putting a nice little sprinkle on the ML, the main move to make if you believe in ASU is the spread.
While Utah is a solid team and should end up ranked again, six points is rather generous when the Utes were pummeled at home in their lone game against competition that is in the same echelon as Arizona State.
2) Arizona State Team Total Over 21.5 Points (-105 at Bovada)
I don’t expect Arizona State and Utah to light up the scoreboard at Rice-Eccles Stadium, but I think the Sun Devils will score at least 24-27 points against the Utes.
Sam Leavitt has played well since a dud at Mississippi State, completing 66.7% of his passes for 700 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions and running for 183 yards and three touchdowns in the last three games.
With Leavitt playing well and RB Raleek Brown producing at a high clip, I think the Sun Devils can move the ball and score some points at Utah.
3) Arizona State/Utah First Half Over 24.5 (+100 at BetOnline)
With the above pick in mind, I also like the over for the first half. Dampier and Utah’s offense should be able to generate some points as well, and this is a very reasonable target for the first half. With it at 23.5, a 14-10 or 17-7 game will bring a winner instead of a push, so grab the 23.5 instead of the 24 available at some other books.
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