Virginia vs Pittsburgh: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | February 3, 2025

Pitt and Virginia face off in a classic ACC battle, with both teams looking to rebound from tough losses over the weekend. The Panthers have been dominant at home, while the Cavaliers have struggled on the road, making this a fascinating contrast in styles. With Pitt’s high-powered offense and Virginia’s defensive flaws away from home, the Panthers’ team total stands out as the best angle for this matchup.

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Virginia vs Pitt Odds

Can Pitt dominate Virginia tonight and build momentum for their showdown with North Carolina on Saturday?

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Basketball games.

Spread

Virginia: +13 (-110)

Pitt: -13 (-110)

Total

Over: 131 (-116)

Under: 131 (-104)

Moneyline

Virginia: +660

Pitt: -1000

Virginia vs Pitt Best Bet

A classic ACC matchup between the Cavaliers and Panthers, with both teams coming off tough losses. Pitt fell to Wake Forest on the road, 76-74, while Virginia lost to Virginia Tech, 75-74. Both teams are looking to bounce back, but with Pitt’s matchup against North Carolina later in the week looming, they could be in a look-ahead spot. Covering 13 points is a tall task when a more meaningful game is up next. Trusting Virginia on the road is the last thing I would want to do on a Monday, so we are focusing on Pitt’s team total.

Pitt at Home vs. Virginia on the Road

The Panthers have been dominant at home, ranked as the eighth-best team in their home gym, per Haslametrics. Virginia, by comparison, ranks 285th in road performance, sitting 277 spots below Pitt. Inside their home arena, the Panthers excel offensively, ranking 14th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They have minimal weaknesses at home, making shots from all over the floor while taking care of the basketball. They also push the pace much faster than Virginia, forcing an up-tempo style of play.

Even if Pitt is looking ahead to North Carolina, they should have no trouble breaking down Virginia’s porous defense. With a top-25 two-point offense, they can exploit the Cavaliers’ 273rd-ranked two-point road defense. Pitt should also get plenty of trips to the free-throw line, as Virginia ranks 295th in free-throw rate defense. The Panthers are a top-50 free-throw shooting team and should take full advantage. Virginia also struggles on the glass, ranking in the high 200s in both offensive and defensive rebounding, giving Pitt plenty of second-chance opportunities.

In Virginia’s five conference road games this season, they have allowed at least 71 points in all but one. Opponents are averaging 75.6 points per game at home against the Cavaliers. Meanwhile, Pitt is putting up 86.8 points per game at home this season. Virginia is surrendering 74.3 points per game on the road, and Pitt has not scored under 70 points since its January 7 loss to Duke, where they managed fewer than 50.

With the better team facing a big spread against a weaker opponent in a potential trap spot, the safer play is the team total over. Give me Pitt’s team total over 71.5!