North Texas vs Oklahoma State Basketball Prediction & Picks

North Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction & Picks (2023 NIT Quarterfinals) cover

A trip to next week’s NIT semifinals will be on the line tonight at Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Oklahoma as North Texas will take on Oklahoma State (7:00 pm ET, ESPN).

The Cowboys (20-15), the top seed in their quarter of the NIT bracket, are in the quarters after wins over Youngstown State and Eastern Washington.

The second-seeded Mean Green, meanwhile, are in the NIT quarters after resounding wins over Alcorn State and Sam Houston State.

Who will book a ticket to Vegas? Read on for our North Texas vs Oklahoma State basketball prediction and picks.

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North Texas vs Oklahoma State Odds

Odds are via BetOnline as of Tuesday, March 21, 2023.

Spread

North Texas +4.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State -4.5 (-110)

Over/Under

Over 123.5 (-115)
Under 123.5 (-105)

Moneyline

North Texas +164
Oklahoma State -200

Will the Pokes Leave the Mean Green Blue?

North Texas Oklahoma State NIT preview prediction Tyreek Smith Ok St basketball

Of the teams that did not make the NCAA Tournament, only Rutgers, who was bounced in the first round of the NIT by Hofstra, ranks higher than Oklahoma State in adjusted defensive efficiency at KenPom.

Entering today, the Pokes rank 12th in that category, which puts them ahead of ten of the teams that will be playing in the Sweet Sixteen.

That defense came to play against both Youngstown State and Eastern Washington, both of whom rank in the top ten in the country in shooting percentage.

Defensive Results for Oklahoma State in the NIT

Youngstown State

Season Numbers for Youngstown State: 81.9 PPG, 48.7% FG, 36.5% 3PT
Numbers vs Oklahoma State: 64 points, 35.5% FG (22 of 62), 28.6% 3PT (8 of 28)

Eastern Washington

Season Numbers for Eastern Washington: 76.7 PPG, 49.0% FG, 35.8% 3PT
Numbers vs Oklahoma State: 60 points, 38.6% FG (22 of 57), 29.0% 3PT (9 of 31)

If the Cowboys produce another strong defensive effort tonight against North Texas, they will likely win and cover. This season, they are 15-4 SU and 13-5-1 ATS when allowing fewer than 65 points.

Oklahoma State has also been good value for money as a favorite of five or fewer points. In the seven instances that they have been favored by five or fewer points, the Cowboys are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS, with the only outright loss a home loss to Kansas State on February 25.

North Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction and Picks

Prediction for North Texas vs Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State to win

Picks for North Texas vs Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State -4.5 & Oklahoma State team total over 64.5 (Best Value: BetOnline)

Where to Bet on North Texas vs Oklahoma State

Here are four legal sports betting sites that we highly recommend and have reviewed, where you can bet on this year’s NCAA men’s and women’s tournaments, as well as the 2023 NIT.