Minnesota vs #7 Michigan State: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | January 28, 2025

Revenge is on Minnesota’s mind as they face Michigan State in a rematch of December’s blowout loss. The Golden Gophers have been hot lately but face a tough road test against a Spartans team with a lockdown defense. Expect a grind-it-out game with a slower pace and scoring at a premium.

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Minnesota vs #7 Michigan State Odds

How will the Michigan State Spartans handle the red hot Minnesota Golden Gophers?

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Basketball games.

Spread

Minnesota: +13 (-105)

Michigan State: -13 (-115)

Total

Over: 139 (-115)

Under: 139 (-105)

Moneyline

Minnesota: +670

Michigan State: -950

Minnesota vs #7 Michigan State Best Bet

Is Minnesota the hottest average team in the country? Yes. Will they make it four straight wins over top-75 opponents? No.

This is where the road ends for the Golden Gophers, even with revenge on their minds. These teams already faced off earlier this season on December 4, when Michigan State cruised to a 90-72 victory. Not only do I not see Minnesota winning this rematch, I do not see either team scoring nearly as much as they did in December. This game screams under.

Minnesota has been on fire during their last three games, shooting 53% from the floor and 34.7% from beyond the arc. However, two of those three games were at home, and now they are on the road, where they have struggled offensively. Away from home, the Golden Gophers rank 13th worst in three-point shooting, 173rd in two-point offense, and 287th in free throw percentage. Despite their offensive issues, their defense has been solid, ranking 41st on the road and boasting the 27th best perimeter defense in the country.

Michigan State’s defense should have no problem shutting down Minnesota’s sputtering offense. The Spartans excel at rebounding, defending the perimeter, and blocking shots, ranking inside the top 50 in all three areas at home. Offensively, they have struggled with consistency from beyond the arc, ranking 317th in three-point percentage, which plays into Minnesota’s strong perimeter defense.

The pace of play should lean slower, even though Michigan State typically prefers a faster tempo. Minnesota ranks as the ninth slowest team in the country and will need to force a grind-it-out style to stay competitive. While home teams often dictate the pace, the Gophers will have to disrupt Michigan State’s offensive rhythm to keep this game within reach.

With Michigan State set to hit the road for a tough stretch against USC on Saturday and UCLA next Tuesday, their focus may already be shifting to the West Coast. Meanwhile, Minnesota has nothing to look forward to—they are not good enough to look ahead to any game. For the Golden Gophers, every game is a must-win.