#19 Ole Miss vs South Carolina: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | February 12, 2025

South Carolina is desperate for their first conference win, and tonight might be their best shot yet. The Gamecocks host No. 19 Ole Miss, who could be distracted with an in-state rivalry game against Mississippi State looming. With both teams facing different pressures, this matchup promises to be intense.

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#19 Ole Miss vs South Carolina Odds

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Spread

Ole Miss: -5 (-115)

South Carolina: +5 (-105)

Total

Over: 138 (-110)

Under: 138 (-110)

Moneyline

Ole Miss: -210

South Carolina: +180

#19 Ole Miss vs South Carolina Best Bet

South Carolina finds themselves in the best possible position to finally secure their first conference win of the season. After starting conference play 0-10, the Gamecocks host No. 19 Ole Miss, who is in a look-ahead spot with their in-state rival Mississippi State on deck this Saturday. The Rebels lost to Mississippi State in their previous matchup, 84-81 in overtime.

Potential Storm?

At home, the Gamecocks have played their best basketball all season. They excel at generating second-chance points, ranking 60th in offensive rebounding. They get to the line with ease, rank in the top 50 in free throw rate offense, and boast a top 75 defense. As home underdogs this season, South Carolina is 5-1 against the spread. The Gamecocks prefer a very slow pace, which they will need to dictate this evening to stay competitive. They rank in the 300s in tempo at home, while Ole Miss prefers a quicker pace. However, in true road games, Ole Miss’s pace drops from top 100 to mid-100s.

Ole Miss has struggled on the road this season to avoid fouling, ranking fifth worst in free throw rate defense. On top of that, they are 15th worst in offensive rebounding. If South Carolina can limit the Rebels’ second-chance points while taking advantage of their fouling, the Gamecocks can easily stay in this matchup. The Rebels lean on their three-point shooting, ranking 159th in three-point rate but 207th in three-point percentage. South Carolina is ranked 188th in three-point rate but holds the 46th spot in three-point rate defense. Limiting the Rebels’ shots beyond the arc will be crucial, as Ole Miss has struggled from deep.

This feels like a game where the team starving for a conference win catches the other looking ahead to the weekend. Give me the Gamecocks to cover the five points and potentially upset the Rebels.