Tonight’s NBA slate features numerous solid matchups – and plenty of player prop bets to target.
We collected another winner last night, bringing the season record to 22-13 (+7.64 units). Let’s look to keep it rolling with my favorite NBA prop bets for Wednesday, November 5.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NBA Picks Page or our NBA Odds Page.
You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.
NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday, November 5
Tyrese Maxey Under 29.5 Points (-110)
Tyrese Maxey and the Sixers are coming off a brutal collapse on Tuesday, blowing a 24-point lead and losing on a Nikola Vucevic game-winner, 113-111. It’s a tough turnaround spot emotionally and physically, as they now head to Cleveland to face the Cavaliers.
I’m fading Maxey’s scoring tonight and taking under 29.5 points. He’s coming off a draining loss and could be a bit mentally and physically exhausted. More importantly, he’s up against a Cleveland defense that ranks sixth in points per 100 possessions allowed (111.7). The Cavs should key in on Maxey and force the rest of Philly to beat them.
Cade Cunningham Under 10.5 Assists (-130)
Cade Cunningham had a 18-assist game recently, and the market has bumped his assist line up because of it. But he’s still averaging just 9.6 per game this season and has only gone over 10.5 assists in that one matchup.
This should be a spot where he looks to take over more from a scoring perspective, especially against a below-average Utah defense that ranks 17th in defensive effective field goal percentage (54.4%). This feels like a good time to sell high on Cunningham’s assists tonight.
Kyle Filipowski Under 8.5 Points (-120)
Sticking in the same game, I’m also looking at Kyle Filipowski under 8.5 points. Nearly half of his shot attempts (47%) are coming from beyond the arc, and he’s only knocking down about 35% of those looks. He’s not seeing heavy minutes either, averaging just 18.7 per game and 7.0 points on the season.
Detroit does a solid job defending the perimeter, ranking sixth in the NBA in shot rate allowed from three. The market has started to move toward the under on his points prop, and I agree with that direction. This sets up as a tough scoring night for Filipowski.
Anthony Edwards Under 36.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-135)
Good news for the Timberwolves is that Anthony Edwards may be back tonight. He’s still officially listed as questionable, but he went through shootaround Wednesday morning, so he has a real chance to play.
If he does, I’m fading him. The public is going to be excited about his return and immediately jump on his overs, which is fine — we’ll take the other side of the inflated number.
He’s coming off an injury, heading into a tough environment at Madison Square Garden, and facing a Knicks defense that ranks 13th in points per 100 possessions allowed (114). On top of that, we don’t know what his usage or minutes will look like in his first game back. It feels safer to fade here rather than hope he looks like peak Ant in his return.
C.J. McCollum Under 2.5 3-Pointers (-125)
This season with the Wizards, CJ McCollum has posted some of the lowest numbers of his career. His effective field goal percentage sits at 44.8%, the lowest he’s ever had. His Points per Shot Attempt (96.8) is also a career low, and his usage rate is down to 20.8%, his lowest mark since his second year in the league back in 2014-15.
Nearly half of his shots (48%) are coming from three, but he’s hitting just 34.3% of those attempts. And while Boston has been decent-but-not-great at defending the three, they’re still a tough overall defensive matchup.
I’m simply trusting what his numbers are showing right now – McCollum isn’t the same efficient scoring threat he used to be.
Saddiq Bey Under 11.5 Points (-114)
Saddiq Bey draws a tough matchup tonight against the Dallas Mavericks, which makes this a difficult scoring spot. Dallas ranks fourth in defensive effective field goal percentage (51.8%) and eighth in points per possession allowed (112.1).
Bey is averaging just 9.6 points per game this season and has gone over 11.5 in only two of seven games. He did score 17 last night against Charlotte, and that’s really what’s pushing his points prop higher than it probably should be here.
Over half of his attempts (53%) are coming from three, but Dallas allows the fewest three-point attempts in the league and holds opponents to just 32.4% from deep, which ranks fifth.
Even without the matchup being this tough, the fade is still justified. Bey is posting the lowest usage rate (15%) and the lowest points per shot attempt (106.5) of his career. This is a strong spot to take his under.
Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Assists (-103)
Luka Doncic will be available for the Lakers tonight as they host the Spurs.
San Antonio, led by Victor Wembanyama, has quietly put together a strong defensive start to the season. They rank second in points per 100 possessions allowed (108.9) and sixth in defensive effective field goal percentage (52.1%). They’ve been physical, long and active.
This is a matchup that could limit Luka’s ability to facilitate at his usual level, which puts me on the under 8.5 assists. He’s averaging 8.3 per game through four outings and has gone over this number in two of them. It’s a big stage game and he hasn’t played too much this season, so I expect him to play more as a scorer in this spot and to get his own offense going first.
Best Bets:
- Tyrese Maxey Under 29.5 Points (-110)
- Cade Cunningham Under 10.5 Assists (-130)
- Kyle Filipowski Under 8.5 Points (-120)
- Anthony Edwards Under 36.5 PRA (-135)
- CJ McCollum Under 2.5 3-Pointers (-125)
- Saddiq Bey Under 11.5 Points (-114)
- Luka Doncic Under 8.5 Assists (-103)
NBA Record: 22-13 (+7.64 units)
Still Didn’t Get Your NBA Fix?
Follow me on X @dannyburke5 for all my picks, analysis and plenty more. Also be sure to follow Betting News on ‘X’ and Twitch to catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day and check out our Free Expert Picks for every major sports league.
More NBA News
NBA Betting News
NBA Prop Bets for Monday, December 15 | Betting News
NBA Betting News
NBA Prop Bets for Saturday, December 13 | Betting News
NBA Betting News
Tonight’s Best Player Props in the Association | NBA (12/10)
NBA Betting News
NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, December 11
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER