We have another massive NBA slate on tap with 11 games scheduled, which gives us plenty of prop plays to attack.
Our Saturday article delivered another profitable performance, finishing 3-1 (+1.96 units) and pushing the season record to 10-2 (+7.86 units).
Let’s look to keep the mojo going with my NBA props for Monday.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NBA Picks Page or our NBA Odds Page.
You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.
NBA Prop Bets for Monday
Trae Young Under 2.5 3pts (+117)
It may seem a bit scary to fade Trae Young from three-point land, although the numbers back it up. Young has taken 16 attempts from deep this season and converted only four, a 25% clip. A majority of his looks are coming inside the arc, and now he faces a Bulls team that surprisingly owns the league’s best three-point defense. Chicago allows the fewest attempts and makes from beyond the arc, which further strengthens the case for the under on Young’s three-point prop.
RJ Barrett Over 3.5 Assists (+112)
When it comes to RJ Barrett props, most bettors probably avoid his assists, since that has not traditionally been a focal point of his game. However, we are getting plus money on his over 3.5 assists, which certainly catches the eye.
Through three games, Barrett has produced five assists in the opener at Atlanta, then two against Milwaukee, and three in Minnesota. Those raw totals may not jump off the page, although his underlying potential assists tell a more complete story. He is averaging five potential assists per game so far, and last season he averaged 5.4 actual assists per game.
This profiles as a buy-low opportunity on a player performing below his usual assist output in this category and the market is offering a plus-money entry point to capitalize on it.
Aaron Gordon Under 16.5 Points (-112)
Aaron Gordon and the Nuggets travel to Minnesota for what should be a physical, competitive matchup. These teams have built a strong rivalry over the past couple of seasons, particularly in the playoffs, so heightened intensity should be expected as both sides aim to set a tone early in the season.
Gordon erupted in Denver’s opener, scoring an eye-popping 50 points in an overtime loss at Golden State. He then followed it with 17 points against Phoenix, although that came in a comfortable Nuggets win where he logged only 25 minutes.
Even so, this sets up as a fade spot. Minnesota’s defensive metrics have been below average in the small early-season sample, although the circumstances of this matchup likely elevate their effort on that end. The Timberwolves will be keyed on slowing Denver’s secondary scorers, and Gordon in particular has drawn plenty of attention due to his explosive debut. The under on 16.5 points presents some value.
Devin Booker Under 42.5 PRA (-115)
Through three games, Devin Booker is averaging 26.7 points, 5.7 assists, and 3.7 rebounds per contest. He has yet to surpass 42.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists in any of those matchups.
Despite that, his PRA line continues to rise. The market narrative stems from a low perception of Utah’s defense after last season. In reality, this roster has already shown progress on that end, currently ranking fourth in defensive points allowed per 100 possessions.
The Suns are also trending in the wrong direction, with fewer reliable scoring outlets for Booker to facilitate. That results in more isolation, which simplifies the defensive game plan against him and limits his overall production.
Take the under on Booker’s points, rebounds and assists tonight.
Lauri Markkanen Under 24.5 Points (-124)
Markkanen has been highly efficient through his first two games, shooting 55.6% from the field and hitting 40% of his attempts from beyond the arc. He finished with 20 points in the opener against the Clippers, then erupted for 33 in Sacramento last Friday.
This number feels slightly inflated, so I’m going to take him under 24.5 points. Be sure to shop around, since some books are hanging 23.5, though I still expect him to remain under that, but it’s imperative to set yourself up with the best value possible.
Phoenix’s defense has struggled to begin the 2025-26 campaign, ranking 29th in points allowed per 100 possessions and 28th in defensive effective field goal percentage. However, one thing the Suns have done well is limit three-point volume. They currently allow the third-fewest attempts from deep.
Markkanen is heavily reliant on perimeter shooting, and Phoenix should be able to counter that enough to keep him below this prop number tonight.
Walker Kessler Under 10.5 Rebounds (-107)
I cannot seem to stop finding value in this Utah Jazz vs. Phoenix Suns game. This will be the final prop in this matchup, and the focus is on fading Walker Kessler’s rebounding production. He has finished with nine rebounds in each of his first two games, yet his prop is now posted at 10.5.
Overall, Phoenix has been below average in rebounding metrics, particularly on the defensive end. Oddly enough, they are among the top teams in offensive rebounding. There is reason to expect improvement on the defensive glass, and that could begin tonight. Utah also has several capable rebounders around Kessler, which naturally limits his individual opportunities. In addition, both the Kings and Suns rank top seven in three-point attempts. More long-range shots typically lead to longer rebounds that drift away from the basket, an area where Kessler usually operates. These long misses should restrict his opportunity to exceed 10.5 boards tonight.
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