Happy Friday, everyone! The NBA Cup group play is back in action with 11 games on the schedule.
Let’s take a deep dive into the slate with my favorite NBA bets and props for Friday, November 7.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our NBA Picks Page or our NBA Odds Page.
You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.
NBA Bets & Props for Friday, November 7
Boston Celtics +4 (-110) @ Orlando Magic
I’m not sure why anyone would think the Orlando Magic are four points better than the Boston Celtics right now. The Magic have been playing some poor basketball to start the 2025–26 season, sitting at 3–5. Two of those three wins came against bottom-tier teams – the Charlotte Hornets and Washington Wizards – and they followed it up with a 127–112 loss in Atlanta on Tuesday.
What once looked like a strong defensive team has regressed significantly. Orlando now ranks 19th in defensive effective field goal percentage (55.2%) and 18th in points allowed per 100 possessions (115.9).
Meanwhile, the Celtics are launching 47.1% of their shots from three-point range, the second-highest rate in the league. That’s bad news for Orlando, a team that ranks 23rd in opponent three-point percentage (37.4%).
The Celtics also rank 13th in offensive points per possession, giving them an advantage over their opponent in several key areas. Defensively, Boston sits fourth in opponent effective field goal percentage and 10th in points per possession allowed. Orlando’s offense, on the other hand, has struggled mightily, ranking 25th in points per possession and 20th in effective field goal percentage.
Given all that, I’ll gladly take the four points with the better team in this matchup.
Paolo Banchero Under 4.5 Assists (-125)
Let’s keep our next wager in this same matchup and look to fade Paolo Banchero’s assists prop tonight. He’s averaging 4.5 assists on the season but has been inconsistent in that category. As mentioned, the Celtics have one of the league’s top defensive units, which should limit Orlando’s scoring opportunities overall. On top of that, Boston allows the third-fewest assists per game (24), making this a tough spot for Banchero to hit his number.
Noah Clowney Under 13.5 Points (-127)
Noah Clowney’s coming off a nice two-game stretch, scoring 17 and 15 points, which has caused his points prop to climb heading into Friday night’s matchup against the Pistons.
Looking at the full season, though, he hasn’t been an efficient scorer. Clowney’s points per shot attempt (95.1) ranks in just the 10th percentile among his position group, and his effective field goal percentage of 43.4% lands him in the sixth percentile.
About 70% of his shots come from three-point range, yet he’s hitting only 26% of them. The Pistons defend the perimeter well, so I expect them to contain his scoring abilities this evening.
Isaiah Stewart Under 12.5 Points (-120)
Let’s stay in the Big Apple and take a look at Isaiah Stewart to stay under 12.5 points against the Brooklyn Nets. I know, I know – it seems crazy to take an under on a player prop when that player is facing the worst defense in the league, but hear me out.
Stewart’s points prop looks a bit inflated because of the matchup and his recent uptick in production. Even so, he’s averaging just 11.5 points per game on the season. Given how weak Brooklyn’s defense is, it’s more likely that Detroit’s primary scorers shoulder the offensive load rather than Stewart’s numbers suddenly spiking.
Efficiency remains an issue, too, he ranks in the 43rd percentile among players at his position with an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%. So let’s not get carried away expecting a breakout. Stewart should settle back near his season averages despite the favorable matchup.
DeAndre Hunter Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (+124)
De’Andre Hunter and the Cavaliers draw a favorable matchup Friday night against the Washington Wizards – a team whose defense ranks second-worst in points allowed per 100 possessions and 22nd in defensive effective field goal percentage.
From beyond the arc, Washington sits middle of the pack, ranking 16th in both opponent three-point rate (39%) and opponent accuracy (35.5%).
Hunter’s usage rate is at a career high (25.2%), and he’s taking the majority of his shots from deep. Facing a soft Wizards defense, he should have plenty of opportunities to keep firing from three. Let’s take a shot on the over at this appealing plus-money price tonight.
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-114)
Our final prop features another big man and his three-point shooting. Let’s back Chet Holmgren to knock down at least two threes tonight.
Holmgren and the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Sacramento to take on the Kings. Sacramento’s defense isn’t anything special and honestly, they’ve probably looked a bit better than they really are. Even so, they still rank just 17th in opponent three-point percentage (35.8%).
Chet takes 35% of his shots from beyond the arc and connects on 40% of them.
Let’s look for him to hit a pair of triples tonight.
Best Bets:
- Boston Celtics +4 (-110) @ Magic
- Paolo Banchero Under 4.5 Assists (-125)
- Noah Clowney Under 13.5 Points (-127)
- Isaiah Stewart Under 12.5 Points (-120)
- De’Andre Hunter Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+124)
- Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 3pt FGM (-114)
NBA Record: 26-15 (+9.47 units)
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