Odds and Favorites to Win the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship: Larson, Hamlin Lead the Line

2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson - 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Odds & Favorites

With one race remaining in the regular season, the field for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series championship playoffs is nearly complete.

While Tyler Reddick and Alex Bowman will both be hoping to secure the spots they now tenuously hold following Austin Dillon’s upset win in Saturday’s Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway, most of the top NASCAR stars can all relax ahead of Saturday’s regular season finale at Daytona.

That includes newly crowned regular season champion William Byron, who assumed an unassailable advantage by finishing 12th at Richmond, 26 spots ahead of Hendrick Motorsports teammate Chase Elliott and enough to extinguish the hopes of Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, and Christopher Bell.

But while Byron will enter the playoffs with an advantage, he does not sit atop the latest NASCAR Cup Series championship odds at BetOnline and other top U.S. sportsbooks. In fact, he isn’t even among the top four, even though he reached the Championship 4 in each of the previous two seasons.

Odds to Win the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Odds are as of Monday, August 18, 2025

Driver Current BetOnline Odds Current Bovada Odds Current Everygame Odds (no 8/18 update) Best Cup Series Championship Finish
Kyle Larson +400 +400 +325 Won (2021)
Denny Hamlin +400 +450 +450 2nd (2010)
Ryan Blaney +550 +550 +600 Won (2023)
Christopher Bell +550 +550 +600 3rd (2022)
William Byron +600 +550 +700 3rd (2023, 2024)
Chase Elliott +850 +900 +1200 Won (2020)
Tyler Reddick +1800 +2000 +1200 4th (2024)
Joey Logano +1800 +2000 +1200 Won (2018, 2022, 2024)
Chase Briscoe +1800 +2000 +2500 9th (2022)
Shane van Gisbergen +2200 +2000 +2500 6th (2020)
Ross Chastain +2500 +2800 +4000 2nd (2022)
Bubba Wallace +3300 +3300 +5000 10th (2023)
Alex Bowman +3300 +3300 +3300 Won (2015, 2019)
Chris Buescher +4000 +4000 +4000 7th (2023)
Austin Cindric +4000 +4000 +5000 11th (2024)
Josh Berry +5000 +5000 +3300 27th (2024)
Austin Dillon +5000 +5000 n/a 11th (2017, 2020, 2022)
Carson Hocevar +5000 +6600 +5000 21st (2024)
Kyle Busch +6000 +6600 +7000 Won (2015, 2019)
Ty Gibbs +6600 +6600 +12500 15th (2024)

Who are the Favorites to Win This Year’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship?

Kyle Larson

Last year, an unsuccessful (due to weather) attempt to do double duty at the Indianapolis 500 and Coca-Cola 600 ultimately cost Larson the regular season championship and some valuable extra points. In the end, he led the Cup Series with six wins but agonizingly missed out on the Championship 4.

Best Cup Series Championship Result: Larson produced a dominant run in the playoffs in 2021 to secure his lone title to date, winning four of the last five races to close out a 10-win championship campaign.

Denny Hamlin

There is only one thing missing from Hamlin’s illustrious NASCAR Cup Series career: a championship. Will it finally come this season?

Best Cup Series Championship Result: To date, Hamlin’s best championship finish is a runner-up finish in 2010, his fifth full season at the highest level. That year, he held a 33-point lead over Jimmie Johnson with two races remaining but finished outside of the top 10 at Phoenix and Homestead to lose out by 39 points.

Ryan Blaney

After winning the title in 2023, Blaney came up just short of becoming the first driver to repeat as Cup Series champion since Jimmie Johnson’s run of five consecutive championships from 2006 to 2010.

With the way that Team Penske has owned Phoenix Raceway the last few Novembers, all he may need is one timely win to set himself up for a second title in three seasons.

Best Cup Series Championship Result: Blaney took home the trophy in 2023 by finishing second behind Ross Chastain in the Cup Series Championship Race, finishing one point ahead of Larson and two ahead of William Byron.

Christopher Bell

Will this be Bell’s year? He was in the Championship 4 in 2022 and 2023 and controversially missed out last season, and he has become an annual fixture in the championship hunt. This season should not be any different.

Best Cup Series Championship Result: Bell finished third in the final standings in 2022 behind Joey Logano and Ross Chastain.

William Byron

Byron has been in the Championship 4 in consecutive seasons, only to wind up third in the final standings despite finishing in the top four in the season finale on both occasions. Will the third time be the charm for the two-time defending Daytona 500 winner?

Best Cup Series Championship Result: In the 2023 finale, Byron started on pole but finished fourth in the race. Last year, he finished third behind the Penske duo of Logano and Blaney.

Chase Elliott

Elliott has been arguably the most consistent driver in the Cup Series this season, finishing 20th or worse only three times in the first 25 races. Unfortunately for his regular season championship hopes, two of those finishes were in the last three races.

Still, this has been a positive season for Elliott, and continuing his season-long consistency could see him through to the Championship 4 for the first time since 2022.

Best Cup Series Championship Finish: Elliott took home the title in 2020 by winning three of the last five playoff races, including the final two at Martinsville and Phoenix. In the process, he became the second youngest NASCAR Cup Series champion, behind only Jeff Gordon, whose first title came in the year Elliott was born.

2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Info

How many races are in the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season?

There are 36 races on the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series schedule. The first 26 races make up the regular season, while the final 10 races make up the championship playoffs.

When does the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season end?

The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season will wrap up on Sunday, November 2, with the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race.

Where is this season’s Cup Series Championship Race?

For the fifth straight season, the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race will take place at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Arizona.

Next season, the race will move back to Homestead-Miami Speedway, which hosted the Cup Series season finale from 2002 to 2019.

Recent NASCAR Cup Series Championship Winners

NASCAR Champions
  • 2024: Joey Logano
  • 2023: Ryan Blaney
  • 2022: Joey Logano
  • 2021: Kyle Larson
  • 2020: Chase Elliott
  • 2019: Kyle Busch
  • 2018: Joey Logano
  • 2017: Martin Truex Jr.
  • 2016: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2015: Kyle Busch
  • 2014: Kevin Harvick
  • 2013: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2012: Brad Keselowski
  • 2011: Tony Stewart
  • 2010: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2009: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2008: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2007: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2006: Jimmie Johnson
  • 2005: Tony Stewart
  • 2004: Kurt Busch
  • 2003: Matt Kenseth
  • 2002: Tony Stewart
  • 2001: Jeff Gordon
  • 2000: Bobby Labonte

Other NASCAR Betting Content

Throughout the season, you can find predictions, picks, and expert NASCAR betting insight for many Cup Series, Xfinity Series, and Truck Series races, as well as updates on the latest championship odds.

Are you new to betting on NASCAR? Check out our NASCAR betting guide to get your knowledge up to speed before placing your futures bets or wagering on upcoming races.

In addition to our dedicated betting guide, several of our sports betting guides are useful for wagering on NASCAR odds. That includes our guide to golf finishing position bets, which are similar in scope and approach to NASCAR finishing position bets.

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