NASCAR Cup Series Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions & Picks: Can Anyone Stop SVG at Sonoma?

The Trackhouse Racing No. 88 car of Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma Raceway - 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions & Sonoma Picks cover

After winning from pole position last weekend in Chicago, Shane van Gisbergen will look to repeat that feat this afternoon in the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway.

SVG is looking for a successful Sunday, as are the eight drivers who remain in the inaugural NASCAR In-Season Challenge. Who should bettors be eyeing this afternoon? Read on for Cup Series Sonoma predictions and picks and get Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds from top online sportsbooks below.

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If you like to bet on NASCAR odds each week, look no further than BetOnline and Bovada.

Both of these sites offer odds on NASCAR Cup Series, Xfinity Series, and Craftsman Truck Series races, and you can also find series championship odds at both sites.

Why do we recommend both books instead of just one? Line shopping is a valuable part of successful sports betting, and one book may have a better number for one driver, while the other book may have a better number for another driver, so both can be useful on race day.

Additionally, line movement may occur at different times at different books. Therefore, you may get a more favorable line at one book over the other depending on the timing. Use these books in a cooperative manner to maximize your value and chances of success with NASCAR betting.

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Odds to Win the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Toyota/Save Mart 350

Odds are courtesy of Bovada.

  • Shane van Gisbergen +110
  • Kyle Larson +800
  • J. Allmendinger +1000
  • Chase Elliott +1200
  • William Byron +1200
  • Christopher Bell +1400
  • Ty Gibbs +1400
  • Chase Briscoe +1600
  • Chris Buescher +1800
  • Michael McDowell +1800
  • Ross Chastain +1800
  • Tyler Reddick +1800
  • Ryan Blaney +3500
  • Kyle Busch +4000
  • Alex Bowman +5000
  • Daniel Suarez +6600
  • Carson Hocevar +8000
  • Denny Hamlin +8000
  • Joey Logano +8000
  • Austin Cindric +10000
  • Ryan Preece +10000

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions and Picks

Alex Bowman to finish in the top 10 (+120 at Bovada)

With his eighth-place finish in Chicago, Bowman advanced to the quarterfinals of the In-Season Challenge, where he will be matched up with Ty Dillon. He also became the only driver to finish in the top 10 in all three of this season’s road/street races (Circuit of the Americas, Mexico City, Chicago).

Look for him to make it four for four and position himself to move on to the semis. He hasn’t finished in the top ten at Sonoma since 2021, but his current form points to that run ending today.

Tyler Reddick to finish in the top five (+200 at Bovada)

Reddick has finished in the top five in the first two races in the bracket portion of the In-Season Challenge, and he is in the semis against Ryan Preece.

In the first three road/street races this season, two third-place finishes are sandwiched around a 20th-place finish in the Viva Mexico 250, so Reddick has put together some solid results in these races thus far. Look for that to continue today as he pushes for a place in the final four.

William Byron to finish in the top five (+175 at Bovada)

Byron’s lead in the points has taken a big hit thanks to a miserable stretch. In the first 14 races of the season, he finished outside of the top 25 only once. In the last five races, that has happened four times. Most recently, he finished 37th in Atlanta, then his Sunday in Chicago ended before it began due to a clutch issue, consigning him to a last-place finish in the 40-car field.

He now has teammates Chase Elliott (13 points behind) and Kyle Larson (19 points behind) nipping at his heels, with Denny Hamlin (43 points behind) and Tyler Reddick (48 points behind) also within striking distance. So, the No. 24 car needs a strong finish today, both for his place in the standings and to generate some good vibes.

Byron has never finished in the top five at Sonoma in six career Cup Series starts, but it is highly encouraging that he qualified third for today’s Toyota/Save Mart 350. Now, all he needs to do is stay out of trouble and have neither his car nor strategy let him down. Not too much to ask at all, right?

Shane van Gisbergen to win the Toyota/Save Mart 350

There will not be a second straight weekend sweep for SVG, as he could not find a way past wonderkid Connor Zilisch in yesterday’s Pit Boss/FoodMaxx 250. But a runner-up finish yesterday and a victory today would make it another winning weekend for him, and he should make it happen.

Other NASCAR Betting Content

Did you enjoy this Toyota/Save Mart 350 breakdown? Throughout the season, you can find predictions, picks, and expert NASCAR betting insight for many Cup Series, Xfinity Series, and Truck Series races, as well as updates on the latest championship odds.

Are you new to betting on NASCAR? Check out our NASCAR betting guide to get your knowledge up to speed before you bet on the upcoming action.

In addition to our dedicated betting guide, several of our sports betting guides are useful for wagering on NASCAR odds. That includes our guide to golf finishing position bets, which are similar in scope and approach to NASCAR finishing position bets.