The UFC is headed back home to Las Vegas this week with a huge fight card for UFC Vegas 106. Headlined by a highly anticipated matchup in the Welterweight division between Gilbert Burns and Michael Morales.
Morales is a home grown UFC prospect who has earned his stripes with five bouts under the banner. He is getting his shot over a proven veteran in Burns, with hopes to jump up into the top of the rankings.
Burns has been on a tough streak as of late with three straight losses. Father time stops for no one, and with the losing streak it certainly seems like his back is up against a wall here.
The card is stacked from top to bottom with exciting fights featuring prospects vs. tested veterans. The recipe should provide an action packed night with a few surprises along the way.
In honor of all fight odds being released , it’s time to get right into the odds and predictions of UFC Vegas 106, Live from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada!
Make sure to check out all of the fights and odds for this weekend listed at the best online sportsbooks.
Article Transparancy – UFC 315 Prediction Record: 6-6 , 90-57 Overall 2025
UFC Vegas 106 Michael Morales vs. Gilbert Burns Fight Card Odds & Predictions
UFC Vegas 106 Headlined By A Huge Match Up In The Welterweight Division
- Age: Michael Morales (25) vs. Gilbert Burns (38)
- Record: Michael Morales (17-0) vs. Gilbert Burns (22-8)
- Last 5: Michael Morales 5-0 / Gilbert Burns 2-3
- Moneyline: Michael Morales (-820) vs. Gilbert Burns (+570)
- Round Total: 3.5 Total Rounds – Over (+105) / Under (-135)
- Most Likely Method Of Victory: Michael Morales Wins By KO/TKO
Main Event – Michael Morales vs. Gilbert Burns Prediction: Over 3.5 Total Rounds (+105) at Betonline
UFC Vegas 106 Co – Main Event Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig Odds – Middleweight
Co – Main Event Features An Interesting Matchup In The Middleweight Division
- Age: Rodolfo Bellato (29) vs. Paul Craig (37)
- Record: Rodolfo Bellato (12-2) vs. Paul Craig (17-9)
- Last 5: Rodolfo Bellato 4-0-1 / Paul Craig 1-4
- Moneyline: Rodolfo Bellato (-550) vs. Paul Craig (+400)
- Round Total: 1.5 Total Rounds – Over (+105) / Under (-135)
- Most Likely Method Of Victory: Rodolfo Bellato By KO/TKO (-160)
Co – Main Event Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig Prediction: Under 1.5 Total Rounds (-135) at Betonline
Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos Odds – Bantamweight
- Age: Sodiq Yusuff (31) vs. Mairon Santos (24)
- Record: Sodiq Yusuff (13-4) vs. Mairon Santos (15-1)
- Last 5: Sodiq Yusuff 2-3 / Mairon Santos 4-1
- Moneyline: Sodiq Yusuff (+115) vs. Mairon Santos (-135)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-240) / Under (+181)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Mairon Santos By Points (+160)
Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos Prediction: Sodiq Yusuff Wins (+115) at Betonline
Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursulton Ruziboev Odds – Middleweight
- Age: Dusitn Stoltzfus (31) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (33)
- Record: Dustin Stoltzfus (16-6) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (35-9)
- Last 5: Dustin Stoltzfus 3-2 / Nursulton Ruziboev 4-1
- Moneyline: Dustin Stoltzfus (+235) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (-275)
- Round Total: 1.5 Total Rounds – Over (-110) / Under (-110)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Nursulton Ruziboev By KO/TKO (-160)
Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursalton Ruziboev Prediction: Over 1.5 Total Rounds (-110) at Betonline
Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa Odds – Featherweight
- Age: Julian Erosa (35) vs. Melquizael Costa (28)
- Record: Julian Erosa (31-11) vs. Melquizael Costa (23-7)
- Last 5: Julian Erosa 3-2 / Melquizael Costa 4-1
- Moneyline: Julian Erosa (+147) vs. Melquizael (-172)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (+139) / Under (-180)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Melquizael Costa By Ko (+200)
Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa Prediction: Melquizael Costa Wins (-172) at Betonline
Matheus Camilo vs. Gabe Green Odds – Welterweight
- Age: Matheus Camilo (24) vs. Gabe Green (32)
- Record: Matheus Camilo (9-2) vs. Gabe Green (11-5)
- Last 5: Matheus Camilo 5-0 / Gabe Green 2-3
- Moneyline: Matheus Camilo (-235) vs. Gabe Green (+200)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (+109) / Under (-140)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Matheus Camilo By KO/TKO (+200)
Matheus Camilo vs. Gabe Green Prediction: Over 2.5 Total Rounds (+109) at Betonline
Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises Odds – Lightweight
- Age: Jared Gordon (36) vs. Thiago Moises (30)
- Record: Jared Gordon (20-7) vs. Thiago Moises (19-8)
- Last 5: Jared Gordon 2-2-1 / Thiago Moises 3-2
- Moneyline: Jared Gordon (-123) vs. Thiago Moises (+103)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-320) / Under (+234)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Jared Gordon By Points (+105)
Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises Prediction: Thiago Moises Wins (+103) at Betonline
Connor Mathews vs. Yadier Delvalle Odds – Featherweight
- Age: Connor Mathews (32) vs. Yadier Delvalle (28)
- Record: Connor Mathews (7-3) vs. Yadier Delvalle (8-0)
- Last 5: Connor Mathews 2-3 / Yadier Delvalle 5-0
- Moneyline: Connor Mathews (+380) vs. Yadier Delvalle (-480)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-120) / Under (-110)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Yadier Delvalle By Points (+125)
Connor Mathews vs. Yadier Delvalle Prediction: Under 2.5 Total Rounds (-110) at Betonline
Luana Santos vs. Tainara Lisboa Odds – Bantamweight
- Age: Luana Santos (25) vs. Tainara Lisboa (34)
- Record: Luana Santos (8-2) vs. Tainara Lisboa (7-2)
- Last 5: Luana Santos 4-1 / Tainara Lisboa 5-0
- Moneyline: Luana Santos (-170) vs. Tainara Lisboa (+145)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-275) / Under (+206)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Luana Santos By Points (+125)
Luana Santos vs. Tainara Lisboa Prediction: Tainara Lisboa Wins (+145) at Betonline
Denise Gomes vs. Elise Reed Odds – Strawweight
- Age: Denise Gomes (25) vs. Elise Reed (32)
- Record: Denise Gomes (10-3) vs. Elise Reed (8-4)
- Last 5: Denise Gomes 4-1 / Elise reed 3-2
- Moneyline: Denise Gomes (-650) vs. Elise Reed (+475)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-185) / Under (+155)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Denise Gomes By Points (-120)
Denise Gomes vs. Elise Reed Prediction: Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+155) at Betonline
Hyun Sung Park vs. Carlos Hernandez Odds – Flyweight
- Age: Hyun Sung Park (29) vs. Carlos Hernandez (31)
- Record: Hyun Sung Park (9-0) vs. Carlos Hernandez (10-4)
- Last 5: Hyun Sung Park 5-0 / Carlos Hernandez 2-3
- Moneyline: Hyun Sung Park (-175) vs. Carlos Hernandez (+150)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-245) / Under (+185)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Hyun Sung Park By Points (+160)
Hyun Sung Park vs. Carlos Hernandez Prediction: Hyun Sung Park Wins (-175) at Betonline
Luana Pinheiro vs. Tecia Pennington Odds – Strawweight
- Age: Luana Pinheiro (31) vs. Tecia Pennington (35)
- Record: Luana Pinheiro (11-4) vs. Tecia Pennington (14-7)
- Last 5: Luana Pinheiro 2-3 / Tecia Pennington 3-2
- Moneyline: Luana Pinheiro (+280) vs. Tecia Pennington (-355)
- Round Total: 2.5 Total Rounds – Over (-455) / Under (+355)
- Most Method Likely Of Victory: Tecia Pennington By Points (-255)
Luana Pinheiro vs. Tecia Pennington Prediction: Over 2.5 Total Rounds (-455) at Betonline
UFC Vegas 106 Schedule & FAQ
When is UFC Vegas 106?
- UFC Vegas 106 will take place Saturday, May 17, 2025.
Where is UFC Vegas 106?
- UFC Vegas 106 will go down live at The Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
What time does UFC Vegas 106 start?
- UFC Vegas 106 Preliminary Card start time: 4 p.m. ET
- UFC Vegas 106 Main Card start time: 7 p.m. ET
How to Watch UFC Vegas 106?
- UFC Vegas 106 Preliminary Card Coverage: ESPN+
- UFC Vegas 106 Main Card Coverage: ESPN+
How to Bet on UFC Vegas 106?
- Most international and domestic sportsbooks will carry odds for a fight card of this caliber but check out our best online sportsbooks here to see what Betting News recommends for a great UFC betting experience.
If one thing is for sure, Saturday’s card is sure to bring the action. I hope this betting guide helps bring more context to your UFC entertainment experience.
If you want my full card of bets, tune into the Violence Report on our network on Twitch every Saturday, or more gambling content like this make sure to follow me on X or Betting News on all platforms!
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