UFC Paris Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Analysis, Best Bet, & Predictions

UFC Paris Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Analysis, Best Bet, & Predictions

The UFC is taking a stacked fight card to Europe for a matinee at UFC Paris. No fight being bigger then the highly anticipated main event of Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho.

Dana White has even gone on to say if one of the fighters wins in spectacular fashion, they will be next in line for Middleweight Gold. One thing is for sure, in order to obtain the opportunity someone must put on a show for the Paris Crowd!

After an eventful weigh in day, the fight card was cut down to 13 fights due to the cancelation of Patricio Pittbull vs Losene Keita. Keita came in just over 4 pounds heavy for the match up.

All other fighters including the Main Event made weight with no issue and are set to square off tomorrow. All bouts were made official and fans across the globe are highly anticipating the action packed card!

On that note lets get right into some analysis and best bet from the Main Event of UFC Paris, Live from Paris, France!

All betting odds are presented by BetOnline.ag as of  9/5/2025 at 8 p.m.

Check out the odds for the entire card at the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.

Main Event: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Analysis – Middleweight

UFC Paris Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Analysis, Best Bet, & Predictions

Sucessful Weigh In For Both Middleweight Contenders

A massive middleweight match up awaits us at UFC Paris. Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho will battle it out on Saturday for the likely #1 contender spot and the next shot at the middleweight title.

The French Prospect Imavov will be getting yet another chance to fight in his own back yard. The prospect has stacked 4 quality wins in his last 5 fights, beating some of the best the middleweight division has to offer.

If those wins were not impressive enough, he has also finished 2 of those opponents including middleweight legend Isreal Adesanya in his last fight. Imavov has established himself as a top contender in the division despite losing twice in his 10 fight UFC career.

The skills of Imavov are very hard to deny, as he has shined in recent fights. Although being somewhat low volume in some fights, he has very technical striking with big power in his hands and the awareness to take advantage of opportunities.

Will Imavov Continue His Run To The Title?

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Despite his Russian background, Imavov prefers to keep the fight standing. This does not mean Imavov does not have the grappling ability, he actually has great offensive wrestling.

Over his career he has secured 8 takedowns in the UFC, with just a 32% accuracy. Imavov shines in his cage work and clinch grappling, often having a size advantage in his fights.

Once getting control of his opponent & securing the takedown, he has great top control often riding out the round on top. Once on the ground , he has very opportunistic submission attempts, securing 4 submission wins in his career.

In recent fights of his career, Imavov had to rally back from being down in the fight to find the win. It actually has become somewhat constant in his game due to being low volume.

The last place you want to be in the middleweight division, is down in a fight against a prospect on the talent level of Borralho.

Can Caio Borralho Pass His Biggest Test To Date?

UFC Paris Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Analysis, Best Bet, & Predictions

Top Ranked Middleweight Prospect Caio Borralho

Caio Borralho is a Brazilian prospect fighting out of the notorious ” Fighting Nerds ” camp. Repping the camp to the fullest, he has made quite the splash in the middleweight Division in route to becoming a star.

Undefeated in his 7 fight UFC tenure, Borralho has been impressive on his way to the top of the division. With only 2 finish wins of the 7, even in fights he can not find the finish he has dominated his opponent from bell to bell.

Grappling is at the forefront of his game unlike his other fighting nerd teammates. Caio sports great offensive wrestling with solid takedowns & control time.

Solidifying his game he has earned his black belt in BJJ under decorated coach Damien Maia. Adding this level has taken his opportunistic submission skills to new levels.

The level of talent that is coming out of the fighting nerds camp right now is off the charts which only bodes well for Borralho. Iron sharpens Iron, and he is getting some of the best training partners in the world being there.

This has made even more of an impression on his game, as Borralho has gotten increasingly better at striking as of recent. Developing a solid jab & some swift counter striking he has been able to shine & even pick up a knock out victory over Paul Craig.

Borralho has paid his dues and paitiently awaited his title opportunity over his career. Even doing the UFC a favor and weighing in as the back up fighter for the Middleweight championship bout between Dricus Du Plessis & Khamzat Chimaev.

Through my eyes, it seems as if Caio Borralho is getting better and better with each fight. It is very hard for me to not side with the rising Brazilian prospect even if he is fighting in enemy territory.

Main Event: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Prediction – Under 4.5 Total Rounds (+159) at BetOnline

Main Event: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Best Bet: Caio Borralho Wins (-131) at BetOnline

UFC Paris Schedule & FAQ

When is UFC Paris?

  • UFC Paris will take place Saturday, September 6th, 2025.

Where is UFC Paris?

  • UFC Shanghai will go down live at the Accor Arena in Paris, France.

What time does UFC Paris start?

  • UFC Shanghai Preliminary Card start time: 12 p.m. ET
  • UFC Shanghai Main Card start time: 3 p.m. ET

How to Watch UFC Paris?

  • UFC Shanghai Preliminary Card Coverage: ESPN+
  • UFC Shanghai Main Card Coverage: ESPN+

How to Bet on UFC Paris?

Most international and domestic sportsbooks will carry odds for a fight card of this caliber. But check out our best online sportsbooks here to see what Betting News recommends for a great UFC betting experience.

If one thing is for sure, Saturday’s card is sure to bring the action. I hope this betting guide helps bring more context to your UFC entertainment experience.

If you want my full card of bets, tune into the Violence Report on our network on Twitch every Saturday. Or for more gambling content like this, make sure to follow me on X or Betting News on all platforms!