Yankees vs. Blue Jays: Guerrero Jr. Picks vs. Warren | July 2, 2025

Yankees rookie pitcher, Will Warren - Guerrero Jr props

Yankees vs. Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went hitless yesterday, but the data suggests a strong bounce-back spot tonight. A favorable matchup and elite metrics make this one of the best value props on the board. The number is simply too good to ignore.

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.

4.8/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
55% Welcome Bonus w/ code BNBOL55
See our review »

Up to $250 in Free Bets + 100 Spins
$10 Cash Bonus w/ Code BNEWS
Fastest Payouts

Play Now & Claim Bonus »

Write Up Transparency

Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @ColbyMBets to get my full card every day! Picks are always FREE.

Last Month: 62-151 (-26.03u)

Last Week: 15-26 (+1.61u)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Best Bets – July 2

After going 0-5 on Canada Day, will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. go off?

Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!

After an 0-5 day at the dish, today has Vlad Day written all over it. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s bases prop is set at +145, which is an insane price for how much I love this matchup.

Vlad Jr. Day

The Blue Jays star holds a great rating on Batters-Box today. In 107 such spots, Guerrero Jr. records a hit nearly 70% of the time, two hits 34% of the time, and goes over this total bases prop 44% of the time. If you want some cushion, the over on his 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI at -115 is more than reasonable. He clears that number 56% of the time in great spots, and the price is more than fair.

The Yankees send rookie Will Warren to the mound, who owns a 4.37 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Over his last 103 innings, he has allowed 37% hard contact. On the road, he sports a 5.54 ERA and a .265 opponent batting average. A total of 42% of his pitch mix is below league average. The other 58% is his fastball and sinker—pitches Guerrero Jr. feasts on. Per Baseball Savant, Guerrero Jr. is the No. 1 Blue Jays hitter against those offerings, batting over .325, with an OPS above .956, and wRC+ north of 191.

This price feels offensive for a hitter batting over .300 with a 1.027 OPS over the last 15 days. Odds of +145 are hard to pass up, and the data backs him to bounce back in a big way tonight.

Best Bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) odds via BetOnline

Interested in More Content?

Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly

Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER

Get FREE Picks

Follow me on X @ColbyMBets for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on ‘X’ and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!

In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below among our best online sportsbooks and sign-up for a bonus!