San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Predictions (7/1): Back Phils at Home Tonight

Schwarber - Phillies vs. White Sox Kyle Schwarber

The San Diego Padres find themselves on the East Coast taking on the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 2 of their three-game series tonight. The hosts got the best of the visitors last night, shutting them out 4-0. Can the Padres rally for a win this evening?

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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: MLB Picks & Predictions

The Padres and Phillies go head to head tonight at Citizens Bank Park

Tatis leads the Padres with 15 home runs this season

These National League teams only play twice this season, as San Diego hosts the Phillies next week.

The Padres are still trying to catch the Los Angeles Dodgers, currently sitting 7.5 games back in the NL West. As for the Phillies, they now have a two-game lead over the New York Mets in the NL East, with the Atlanta Braves nine games out of second place. Things are heating up, and both teams could use a win today to help boost them in the standings.

Matchup Information – Padres vs. Phillies – July 1

  • Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)
  • Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
  • First Pitch: 6:35 p.m. Eastern

Pitching Matchup

  • San Diego Padres: Nick Pivetta (8-2, 3.36 ERA, 1.03 WHIP)
  • Philadelphia Phillies: Christoper Sanchez (6-2, 2.79 ERA, 1.16 WHIP)

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Odds

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Run Line

  • Padres +1.5 (-146)
  • Phillies -1.5 (+126)

Moneyline

  • Padres +143
  • Phillies -158

Total

  • Over 8.5 (+100)
  • Under 8.5 (-120)

I will be backing the hosts to get the job done in this game. They are trending in the right direction, having won three of their last four and they are 12-6 over the last few weeks of June. The Phillies are 27-14 at home this season, while the Padres are a measly 20-25 away.

San Diego has lost two straight and three of their last four, plus they’ve lost three straight series away from home. Losing tonight solidifies that happens for a fourth consecutive time, and I’m pretty confident that’s what we will see.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Best Bets

Sanchez and the Phillies our one of our favorite MLB Picks tonight against the Padres

Christopher Sanchez was dealing during the month of June

Padres vs. Phillies MLB Prediction: Phillies Win, Over 8.5

Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (+126) BetOnline

Give me the hosts by two tonight. The Padres seriously struggle to hit left-handed pitchers. Their team batting average drops two points to .245 on the road, but it goes all the way down to .234 against lefties. Sanchez is No. 17 in MLB in ERA, and top-35 in WHIP as well.

He posted a 1.85 ERA in June (34 IP in five starts), including a 0.91 WHIP. Sanchez is throwing fire at the moment. He’s hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in an outing since May 24, and he’s allowed two or fewer runs in 13/16 starts this season. I don’t think the San Diego hitters will get ahold of him.

As for the Philly bats, their team average balloons up nearly 20 points from .254 to .273 when playing at the Bank, hitting righties and lefties both at great numbers. Pivetta’s 3.36 ERA jumps to 4.50 on the road, and his 1.03 WHIP increases to 1.26. He is coming off pitching seven shutout innings against the Nationals, but prior to that he allowed four runs to the Royals, five to the Dodgers and Giants, and two to the Diamondbacks and Pirates.

The Rockies also took him for six runs in early May. Tonight, I see the Phillies’ hitters having some batting practice at the plate as Sanchez deals a quality start.

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