Rockies vs Mets: Odds & Predictions | May 31, 2025

Rockies vs Mets: It is that time again—Meatball Day is here, and our guy Antonio Senzatela is back on the mound. The Mets could not ask for a better setup to snap back into form. With Senzatela’s struggles and Colorado’s bullpen woes, this one is lining up perfectly.

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Rockies vs Mets Odds

Will there be some Juan Soto magic this weekend against the Rockies?

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Run Line

Rockies: +1.5 (+149)

Mets: -1.5 (-170)

Total

Over: 8 (-114)

Under: 8 (-106)

Moneyline

Rockies: +342

Mets: -395

Rockies vs Mets Best Bet

My favorite day of the week—meatball day—served up by my favorite chef, Antonio Senzatela. And we are taking the Mets to have a field day with him on the bump.

The Rockies’ starter has been the worst pitcher in baseball this season, by far. He is carrying a 6.50 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP, serving up meatballs to every hitter he has faced. Through 11 starts, he is allowing 8.18 hits and 2.36 extra-base hits per outing. Yes, eight hits per start. On the road this season, across five starts, he owns a 5.32 ERA and is allowing a .410 opponent batting average.

As a team, the Rockies are allowing 16.37 total bases per game—14.76 on the road. The Mets, meanwhile, are averaging 13.49 total bases per game. Over the past week, New York has posted a .239 average, .340 OBP, and 98 wRC+. Not exactly eye-popping, but consider who they get to find their rhythm against on Saturday afternoon.

Senzatela throws fastballs 53% of the time. That pitch grades at -2.05, per FanGraphs. The Mets are seeing fastballs well this season—eight hitters on the roster have an xBA above .244, xSLG above .455, and a hard contact rate over 45%.

This is an automatic play for me with how atrocious Senzatela has been. I can live with losing this prop, knowing it would take his best start since March 29, when he gave up nine hits over 4.1 innings—but somehow no runs. I think we will be just fine. Also worth noting: the Rockies bullpen owns a 1.47 WHIP and a 4.30 ERA.

Go Mets.

Best Bet: Mets Team Total Over 14.5 Bases (-110) odds via BetOnline

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