Rays vs Diamondbacks: Zack Littell is stepping into a tough spot on Tuesday, and the numbers are not exactly in his favor. With a hittable arsenal and a matchup against a hot Diamondbacks lineup, this one sets up well for a player prop angle. Here is why backing Littell to allow hits makes the most sense in this spot.
For additional information on picks, props, money lines and more on today’s slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always FREE.
Last Month Betting MLB: 80-118-2 (+6.65u)
Last week Betting MLB: 24-40 (-1.8u)
Rays vs Diamondbacks Odds
How will Corbin Carroll and the Diamondbacks perform against Rays starter Zack Littell?
Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Runline
Rays: +1.5 (-148)
Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+128)
Total
Over: 9 (-110)
Under: 9 (-110)
Moneyline
Rays: +140
Diamondbacks: -155
Rays vs Diamondbacks Best Bet
Forget the sides, forget the total—we are riding with a player prop in this matchup. Rays starter Zack Littell over 5.5 hits allowed. The 29-year-old right-hander enters the day with the seventh worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box.com. He faces two elite-rated Diamondbacks, one above the league strikeout rate and three above the league ground ball rate. Through four starts, he holds a 5.48 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. A primarily breaking ball pitcher, Littell does not have a single redeeming pitch—three of his four offerings are either below league value or barely above it.
Littell has allowed at least five hits in each of his last three outings and is averaging 5.75 hits allowed this season. On the road last season, he posted a 4.54 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP, with opposing hitters batting .304 against him. He was allowing 6.2 hits per game away from home in 2024.
Arizona ranks top 10 in hits per game, averaging 8.41 overall and over nine at home. They match up very well against Littell, with four hitters graded either elite or great. The lineup as a whole is just a decimal away from being graded as elite.
With Littell carrying a low average hitter matchup strikeout percentage and a middling ground ball percentage—plus giving up 35 percent hard contact—the Diamondbacks should be able to square him up and stack the hit column.
Best Bet:Zack Littell Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110) odds via BetOnline
Hitter Prop: Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) odds via BetOnline
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on ‘X’ and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Betting Resources at Betting News
More Betting Stories