Phillies vs. Marlins: Kyle Schwarber Player Props | June 17, 2025

Phillies vs. Marlins: The Phillies’ road warrior is back on the card in a prime bounce-back spot. Schwarber draws a soft matchup and elite rating. The data, trends, and price all line up.

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Last Month: 78-149 (-3.73u)

Last Week: 16-40 (-6.06u)

Phillies vs. Marlins Best Bet – June 17

Kyle Schwarber crushes ball out of the park.

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It is Kyle Schwarber Day!

Yes, my muse is back on the card tonight against the Miami Marlins, entering with the highest rating in his matchup, per Batters-Box.

Playing on the road is where the Phillies slugger has thrived—batting .252 with a .534 slugging percentage and .914 OPS. His elite road trends back it up. In 58 elite-rated road games, Schwarber records a hit 63% of the time, clears this prop 36% of the time, and goes over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 55% of games. The value tonight lies in the total bases prop, especially with his HRR prop juiced to -140.

One of my favorite trends is in play here—Schwarber has not gone back-to-back elite-rated games without a hit all season. He was rated elite last night and went 0-3. That trend points directly to a bounce-back performance.

He faces Marlins starter Cal Quantrill, who has been better at home, but still carries a poor rating. Quantrill owns a poorly rated matchup wOBA, ISO, hard contact, and strikeout percentage. He is allowing 38% hard contact to opposing hitters, and most of his pitch mix grades below league average. His best pitch is the cutter, which he throws 20% of the time.

Against cutters this season, Schwarber owns a +3 run value, batting .500 with a .722 slugging and .545 wOBA across 106 pitches.

After going hitless last night, this sets up as a prime bounce-back spot for Schwarber to make some noise.

Best Bet: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) odds via BetOnline

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