Orioles vs. Red Sox: Heading into Boston, the Orioles look to make noise against the Red Sox. Gunnar Henderson stands out as a player poised for a breakout. After a rough start to the season, he has heated up in the second half. His recent cold streak suggests he is due for an impactful performance at the plate. Tonight presents a prime opportunity for Henderson to deliver on both hits and extra bases.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @ColbyMBets to get my full card every day! Picks are always FREE.
Last Month: 77-102 (+15.98u)
Last Week: 18-26 (+1.95u)
Orioles vs. Red Sox Best Bets – August 18
Can Gunnar Henderson continue his dominance at Fenway?
Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Heading to Boston, where the Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles, I have my eye on a player who feels more than due for an explosive outing at the plate. That being Orioles star shortstop Gunnar Henderson, who has struggled at times this season but has turned it around in the second half.
He feels due for several reasons. First, he has not recorded a hit since Friday. Second, he has not recorded an extra-base hit since Thursday. Third, he has not left the yard since August ninth. Yes, I sprinkled the nuke. However, the real play lies in his bases, priced at even money to the over 1.5.
Henderson owns the fifth-highest rating on Batters-Box today. When rated elite, he records two or more hits 31% of the time and exceeds this prop 51% of the time, based on a 196-game sample. This season alone, in 23 elite-rated games, he records two hits 30% of the time, over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI 65% of the time, and over 1.5 bases 40% of the time. Not the flashiest trend for the bases, but a larger sample size carries more weight for me.
Henderson vs. May
Today, Henderson faces newly acquired Red Sox pitcher Dustin May. The former Dodger has struggled against left-handers recently. In his last 90 matchups with lefties, they own a .377 xBA, .656 xSLG, and .370 xwOBA. May is allowing nearly 52% hard contact to left-handers during that span, including a 2.50 HR/9.
Just under 45% of May’s pitch mix is rated below league average, per FanGraphs. His fastball, his best pitch, is used only 17% of the time. His main pitch is the slider, which he throws 40% of the time. Henderson has batted .276 or better with an OPS of .847+ and a wRC+ of 143+ against both fastballs and sliders. He is also feasting on the 43% of May’s arsenal that is below league average.
Despite Henderson’s road struggles this season, against right-handed pitchers away from home, he has a .260 BA, .753 OPS, and 110 wRC+. This feels like the perfect spot for him to break out after a cold weekend at the plate.
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @ColbyMBets for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on ‘X’ and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below among our best online sportsbooks and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Betting Resources at Betting News
- Picks & Odds for the NFL
- NFL Betting Guide for Beginners
- Pick & Odds for NCAAF
- NCAAF Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the MLB
- MLB Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NBA
- NBA Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NHL
- NHL Betting Guide for Beginners
More Betting Stories