Nationals vs Braves: Odds & Predictions | May 13, 2025

Nationals vs Braves: We are heading to Atlanta tonight where the weather is beautiful and the matchup is even better for Austin Riley. He comes in swinging a hot bat and gets a vulnerable arm in Mike Soroka, who struggles on the road and leans on hittable stuff. The numbers line up perfectly for Riley to make some noise at the plate.

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Nationals vs Braves Odds

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Runline

Nationals: +1.5 (-115)

Braves: -1.5 (-105)

Total

Over: 8.5 (+103)

Under: 8.5 (-123)

Moneyline

Nationals: +186

Braves: -207

Nationals vs Braves Best Bet

More fantastic weather is on deck in Atlanta, and Austin Riley’s total bases prop is looking rather delectable. He enters today with the fourth-highest matchup rating in this game on Batters-Box.com. In 79 Elite-rated games, Riley records a hit 72% of the time, goes over this prop in 56%, and hits a home run 25% of the time. On the season, the third baseman is batting .283 with a sub-.800 OPS. He has recorded a hit in back-to-back games and will look to make it three straight tonight against Nationals starter Mike Soroka.

Soroka enters with a Poor pitcher rating on Batters-Box.com. He also holds a Poor average hitter matchup wOBA and ISO. Through just two starts this season, Soroka has a 7.20 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Last season, across 13 road starts, he posted a 5.04 ERA. The 27-year-old leans heavily on his fastball, throwing it nearly 50% of the time, and FanGraphs grades that pitch at -2.60. His best pitch is his slider, graded at 2.66.

Riley has crushed sliders this season—batting .327 with an .857 OPS and a 146 wRC+ against them. According to Baseball Savant, his expected batting average is .344, expected slugging .587, xwOBA .395, and his hard-hit rate against sliders sits at 61.9%.

With how well Riley matches up against Soroka’s arsenal, it is hard to pass up on his total bases prop this evening.

Best Bet: Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) odds via BetOnline

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