Marlins vs. Pirates: Oneil Cruz Props for June 10

Will Cruz launch another missile tonight at Wrigley Field against the Cubs?

Marlins vs. Pirates: Sandy Alcantara is not the ace you remember. His road splits are brutal, and hitters are teeing off. With Oneil Cruz heating up at home, this matchup sets up beautifully.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Odds – June 10

How will Oneil Cruz perform against a struggling Marlins starter?

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Run Line

Marlins: +1.5 (-167)

Pirates: -1.5 (+147)

Total

Over: 8 (-123)

Under: 8 (+103)

Moneyline

Marlins: +131

Pirates: -145

Marlins vs. Pirates Best Bet

Do not worry, this is not your younger brother’s Sandy Alcantara. It is no longer 2022. He is not the same pitcher. Through 12 starts, he carries a 7.89 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. On the road, it gets even worse—he owns a 12.81 ERA and a .366 opponent batting average. He is getting lit up by everyone: the good, the bad, and the mediocre. This season, he holds a poorly rated wOBA and strikeout percentage—ideal conditions when backing Oneil Cruz, who can sometimes struggle with strikeouts.

Cruz, the Pirates star, owns the highest rating in this game on Batters-Box, and he has shown elite trends when playing at home. He records a hit nearly 72% of the time, doubles at a 31% clip, and has cleared this bases prop 50% of the time. He has gone over his total bases in six of his last 10 elite-rated games.

Alcantara’s best pitch is his sinker, which he throws 24% of the time. It is valued at 0.88, per FanGraphs. Cruz has a run value of three against sinkers, with a .290 batting average, .452 slugging percentage, and .397 wOBA. The rest of Alcantara’s pitches grade below league average, and Cruz has strong numbers against those as well.

This feels like the best spot to back Cruz’s bases prop. His hits, runs, and RBI number is too inflated to justify. The bases prop is the better play.

Best Bet: Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) odds via BetOnline

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