Giants vs. Diamondbacks: Rafael Devers Again? | July 1, 2025

Rafael Devers after a win - player prop picks

Giants vs. Diamondbacks: Rafael Devers again? Yes, and for good reason. The price is better, the matchup is stronger, and the data backs it.

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Last Month: 62-153 (-27.15u)

Last Week: 17-28 (+0.41u)

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Best Bets – July 1

Rafael Devers

Can Rafael Devers bounce back after an awful Monday night?

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Stop. I know what you are thinking—why are we on Rafael Devers again? Just let me explain, because there are a few reasons. One, the price. Last night this prop sat at -105. Today, it is +120. That leads me to reason two—it is a much better matchup.

Devers faces Zac Gallen, who carries a poor rating on Batters-Box’s current season board, along with weak matchup metrics in wOBA and ISO. At home this season, right-handed Gallen has allowed left-handed hitters to bat .312 with a .409 OBP and .495 SLG.

Gallen leans on his fastball nearly 50% of the time—it is his best pitch out of five. However, nearly 40% of his remaining arsenal sits below league average. Devers this season against fastballs owns a 1.1 run value per 100 pitches, a .387 batting average, .921 OPS, and a 169 wRC+. The rest of the pitches, Devers has also had a ton of success against.

Across 151 elite ratings on Batters-Box over the last three seasons, Devers records a hit 68% of the time, two hits 33%, and clears this prop 46% of the time.

With opponents hitting .271 against Gallen at home, Devers coming off an 0-for-4 night, and the matchup looking far better than it did last night—this play is a go.

Best Bet: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) odds via BetOnline

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