Giants vs. Rockies: Heliot Ramos is thriving in elite matchups, and tonight he gets a dream setup in Denver. Rather than chasing a a high total base number, there is sharper value elsewhere. Here is how I am approaching this spot against Kyle Freeland.
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Last Month: 84-144 (+8.07u)
Last Week: 12-41 (-11.81u)
Giants vs. Rockies Best Bet – June 11

Will Heliot Ramos torch Kyle Freeland once again?
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I am not paying for Heliot Ramos’ total base prop this evening, because it is set at 2.5. Sure, it is plus money and the Giants are in Denver. However, I am not paying for that number just to watch him record a double and go hitless the rest of the game. I think betting on the double or home run is the better option. You can also play these at a lower stake because of the price. I threw a little more than a quarter unit on both. His price for two hits was not worth dabbling in either.
Ramos enters the day with the third-best rating on Batters-Box. When elite, he shines. In 26 elite-rated matchups, Ramos has recorded a hit 84% of the time, two hits 42%, a double 30%, and a home run 26%. He has done his best work away from home, batting .295 with a .913 OPS. Against left-handed pitching since 2024, he owns a .337 average, a .652 slugging percentage, and a 1.063 OPS.
Rockies left hander, Kyle Freeland, gets the nod today. He draws a poorly rated matchup based on ISO and strikeout percentage. At home this season, Freeland has been shelled, posting a 7.71 ERA and allowing a .400 opponent batting average. Yes, .400. He is allowing two extra-base hits per game, including 1.3 doubles per outing.
This matchup has extra-base hit written all over it. If you want a bit of cushion in case of a two-hit game or a triple, I would lean toward taking the two-hit prop instead of 2.5 total bases. That is just me, but I believe there will be an extra-base hit regardless.
Best Bet: Heliot Ramos Double (+240) & Home Run (+340) odds via BetOnline
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