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Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 1 Home Run Bets – October 24

Can Mookie Betts take one deep in Game 1?
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Everyone loves long balls. Chicks dig them, I dig them, we all can appreciate a good old-fashioned missile. What better time to enjoy one than on the grandest stage of them all, the Fall Classic. The World Series is here, and Game 1 offers a handful of intriguing names based on playoff production and home run prop value on both sides.
The Game 1 matchup likely features left-hander Blake Snell for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Kevin Gausman for the Toronto Blue Jays. Both have been outstanding during their runs to the Fall Classic, but the numbers show a few cracks that certain hitters may be able to exploit.
Snell vs. Blue Jays
Snell has been nearly untouchable in October, yet right-handed hitters have posted an expected batting average of .286 across his last 60 faced. One name that stands out is Blue Jays catcher Alejandro Kirk. He has quietly handled lefties well this season, slashing .276/.347/.417/.765. Over his last 30 plate appearances against southpaws, he owns a .280 average, .927 OPS, and .560 slugging percentage. With a home run prop hovering around +900, the number alone makes him worth a sprinkle. Snell’s postseason dominance is baked into the price, but value is value.
Dodgers vs. Gausman
Gausman, on the other hand, has struggled to contain right-handed hitters recently. For a deeper breakdown on his issues, check out my Game 1 best bet. Here, though, I am backing one of the Dodgers’ most reliable and battle-tested stars, Mookie Betts.
Betts has been consistent all postseason and has a history of stepping up when it matters most. Over his last 30 at-bats on the road, he sports a .333 average with a 61 percent hard-contact rate. He has been slightly better away from home this season, hitting .267 with a .355 slugging percentage. Against Gausman specifically, Betts has the largest sample size on the Dodgers roster, posting a career .314 average with three home runs and eight RBI across 51 plate appearances.
Betts’ home run prop sits around +550. He has yet to go deep this postseason, but if there were ever a time for him to break through, it is Game 1 of the World Series.
Both Blake Snell and Kevin Gausman have been dominant throughout the playoffs, but even the most elite pitchers show cracks under the bright lights of October. Game 1 of the 2025 World Series has all the ingredients for an amazing showdown, with hitters ready to exploit those small weaknesses.
Alejandro Kirk provides an intriguing angle with his ability to handle left-handed pitching, offering real value on the board. Meanwhile, Mookie Betts is primed for a signature moment, capable of delivering a game-changing hit. The stage is set, the lights are brightest in the Fall Classic, and one swing could alter the series’ trajectory.
Rooting for nothing, but long balls!
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