Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers:
The Dodgers come into tonight’s series with momentum on their side after back-to-back series wins. They are looking to make it three straight over the snakes from the desert, and everything points to this being a favorable spot for them. Their lineup is among the best in baseball, loaded with elite hitters who excel at getting on base, driving the ball, and extending innings. At home, they have been particularly dominant over the last month, ranking near the top in wRC+, OPS, ISO, and hard-hit rate while leading the league in walks.
Tonight, they face Zac Gallen, a pitcher who has struggled with hard contact, especially on the road. Matchups like this rarely come around, where the offense is firing and the price is generous. The first five innings total over 2.5 is a gift, and this is exactly the type of spot where the Dodgers can take full advantage.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @ColbyMBets to get my full card every day! Picks are always FREE.
Last Month: 75-93 (+17.38u)
Last Week: 12-18 (+0.29u)
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Best Bets – August 29
Can Freddie Freeman be the spark the Dodgers need tonight against the snakes?
Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Coming off back-to-back series wins, the Dodgers head into their three-game set against the snakes from the desert aiming to make it three straight series victories.
They are in a highly favorable matchup. With one of the best lineups in baseball, it rarely takes much to be in a strong position. However, they face a familiar arm on the mound who has not been particularly effective this season.
This is why we are all over their first five team total over 2.5, priced at +110. I am very attracted to this number. Regardless of the outcome, it is surprising the books are this generous. This offense has the potential to score five runs in the first five innings. At home, they average 3.15 runs in that span. This is a gift, and simply holding this ticket is a solid opportunity.
Dodgers at Home
The Dodgers enter today with the third-best offense, according to Batters-Box’s current season ratings. Their lineup features four elite hitters, two rated as great, five above the league strikeout rate, and four above the league ground ball rate.
Over the last four weeks at home, the Dodgers have ranked in the top ten in wRC+, wOBA, OPS, ISO, and hard-hit rate. They are number one in walk rate during this stretch. We need runners on base, and I love teams that extend at-bats and innings. Hopefully, they can maintain that momentum tonight.
Gallen vs. Dodgers
Los Angeles faces Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen, who has the sixth-worst pitcher rating on the day. He is prone to hard contact and a high ISO against him. This season, he is allowing nearly 42% hard contact to opposing hitters. In his last three starts in Los Angeles dating back to 2023, he has allowed more than this prop. He also exceeded it at home in Arizona in May, when the Dodgers tallied ten hits and scored four runs.
Some may argue that Gallen has been pitching better recently, but has he been effective on the road? In Texas, he allowed over this prop, gave up two runs in Sacramento, four runs against the Pirates, and six to the Angels. In his last four road outings, three of those four teams scored three or more runs. Tonight, he faces the best offense he has seen on the road in a long time.
In Gallen’s last 27 road innings, opposing hitters have posted a .358 xBA, .547 xSLG, and .333 xwOBA, all while he carries a 5.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
At +110, this first five team total over 2.5 is an absolute gift. The Dodgers enter tonight in a prime offensive spot against a pitcher who struggles to limit hard contact, particularly on the road. Their lineup is firing on all cylinders, extending at-bats, drawing walks, and consistently putting the ball in play. With four elite hitters, a deep supporting cast, and home-field advantage, this is one of the strongest offensive situations of the season to target this prop.
The numbers, the matchup, and the generous price all align perfectly in our favor. This is a ticket worth holding tight, as the Dodgers have every tool to make quick work of Gallen and push this total over early.
Additional First Five Props
If you enjoy reading about this first five prop, you should check out the other two I wrote today. Both explore additional angles where offenses are in favorable spots, and the pricing makes these opportunities just as appealing as this Dodgers matchup. They are strong plays that complement this ticket perfectly and give bettors multiple ways to take advantage of favorable offensive situations.
Best Bet: Dodgers First Five Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (+110) odds via BetOnline
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @ColbyMBets for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on ‘X’ and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below among our best online sportsbooks and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Betting Resources at Betting News
- Picks & Odds for the NFL
- NFL Betting Guide for Beginners
- Pick & Odds for NCAAF
- NCAAF Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the MLB
- MLB Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NBA
- NBA Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NHL
- NHL Betting Guide for Beginners
More Betting Stories