Cubs vs. Twins: Michael Busch Picks & Predictions | July 8, 2025

Cubs vs. Twins: Michael Busch is dialed in and heading into a dream matchup in Minnesota. The numbers back it. The trends demand attention.

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Cubs vs. Twins Best Bets – July 8

Can Michael Busch keep his hot bat alive in Minnesota?

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After a fiery series against the Cardinals, can Michael Busch keep it rolling in Minnesota? I think he can. I absolutely love his matchup today against Simeon Woods Richardson, who holds the second-worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box’s current season rankings. He grades poorly in matchup wOBA, ISO, strikeout percentage, and ground ball percentage.

Trust the MLB Trends

Left-handed hitters have been feasting on the Twins starter, batting over .300 with a .477 slugging percentage and .848 OPS. On the road against right-handed pitching, Busch owns a .328 average, .672 slugging percentage, 1.065 OPS, and a 195 wRC+.

Woods Richardson leans heavily on his fastball and slider—roughly 75% of his pitch mix. Busch is one of the best hitters on the Cubs roster against those pitches, with an OPS above .741 and a wRC+ of 127 or better. According to Baseball Savant, he ranks as the No. 1 hitter in baseball against the slider, with a run value of +5. Against the remaining 25%—his changeup and curveball—Busch is batting above .318, with an OPS over 1.102 and a wRC+ north of 212.

This season, the Cubs first baseman has played in 17 elite-rated games. In those games, he has recorded a hit nearly 90% of the time, two hits in 41%, gone over this prop in 64%, and hit a home run in 35%. It is not an overwhelming sample, but it is strong enough to trust.

Sure, Busch is coming off a hot weekend, but the numbers and trends are too good to pass up in my opinion.

Best Bet: Michael Busch Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) odds via BetOnline

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