Blue Jays vs. Dodgers: Game 4 Best Bets | October 28, 2025

Game 3 gave us everything we could ask for and more. Nearly seven hours of pure chaos, clutch moments, and momentum swings that reminded everyone why October baseball is unmatched. Now, as the series shifts to Game 4, the question becomes whether either team can match that intensity. The Dodgers have momentum, the Blue Jays are searching for answers, and the betting markets are starting to adjust. With pitchers running on fumes and hitters seeing the same arms over and over, there is real potential for fireworks again. This one sets up perfectly for another night of offense.

Let us get into my favorite play of the night!

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 4 Best Bets – October 28

Will Shohei Ohtani see another pitch he can hit this series?

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What a game. What a GAME. Game 3 was one of the best baseball games we have ever witnessed. Nearly seven hours of drama, energy, and chaos that kept you locked in from first pitch to final out. How on Earth does Game 4 follow that? There is only one answer, find a good prop to sweat out and hope it cashes.

As I have mentioned throughout this series, I will continue going back to the same play as long as there is value. The Dodgers first five team total over 2.5 runs at even money remains my go-to spot. Before bed, I also locked in the full game over 7.5 at -125. With nearly every pitcher on both sides having thrown within the past 24 hours, I expect plenty of offense tonight.

The more familiar hitters become with a staff, the more comfortable and dangerous they get, and that is exactly the situation here. If you believe both teams can find success at the plate, the full game over is the right play. I am on both, but I also see value in the Blue Jays first five team total over 1.5 at plus money. Still, the data strongly supports Los Angeles.

Bieber’s Trends

So why stick with the Dodgers team prop? Momentum and data. They face Shane Bieber, who carries an above-average rating on Batters-Box but draws a poor matchup. In five road starts this year (regular and postseason), Bieber owns a 4.00 ERA and 4.17 xERA while allowing 51% hard contact and a 15% barrel rate. Opponents in that stretch posted a .259 xBA, .505 xSLG, and .331 xwOBA.

Recently, Bieber has been particularly vulnerable against right-handed bats. Over his last 30 faced, he holds a 5.68 ERA and 8.89 xERA while giving up 56% hard contact, a 28% barrel rate, and an alarming 5.06 HR/9. Those hitters own a .533 xBA, 1.119 xSLG, and .505 xwOBA.

Elite Rated Bats

The Dodgers lineup will feature five elite-rated hitters and another graded as great, per Batters-Box. With their home crowd behind them, momentum building, and one of the greatest players of this era leading both on the mound and at the plate, this feels like the perfect spot. Three runs early is well within reach, and at plus money, it is worth backing.

Game 4 sets up perfectly for Los Angeles to keep the pressure on. The Dodgers lineup is dialed in, and with the way Bieber has been trending, there are plenty of reasons to believe they can jump on him early. Momentum, matchup data, and recent performance all point in the same direction. After an emotional marathon in Game 3, the Dodgers have the depth and energy to capitalize again. Backing their first five team total over 2.5 runs at even money feels like the right call. The stage is theirs to seize control of the World Series.

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