Angels vs Guardians: Odds & Predictions | June 1, 2025

Angels vs Guardians: Team total bases has quickly become one of my go-to props, and today is a perfect example of why. The Guardians are red hot at the plate and get a dream matchup against one of the league’s most hittable starters. Add in the league’s worst bullpen and this sets up beautifully for Cleveland to rack up bases.

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Last Month: 93-150 (+12.48u)

Last Week: 26-29 (+12.32u)

Angels vs Guardians Odds

Will there be some Jose Ramirez magic this afternoon in Cleveland?

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Run Line

Angels: +1.5 (-119)

Guardians: -1.5 (-101)

Total

Over: 8 (-115)

Under: 8 (-105)

Moneyline

Angels: +175

Guardians: -195

Angels vs Guardians Best Bet

Heading out to Cleveland to test out my new favorite prop once again—team total bases. Today, yes, we are riding with the home team against a struggling starting pitcher.

The Guardians enter today with the eighth-highest offensive rating on Batters-Box default ratings, which date back to the last three seasons. They have just one elite-rated hitter and three with great ratings. Now, in the current season ratings, they hold the third-highest offensive mark. Their lineup features five elite-rated hitters and one rated great. On top of that, not a single hitter is above the league strikeout rate, and only four are above the league ground ball rate.

They will be facing Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz (yes, I copied and pasted his name), who holds the worst pitcher rating in the current season rankings. He carries poor marks across the board: matchup wOBA, ISO, hard contact, and strikeout percentage. The 24-year-old is allowing 38% hard contact to opposing hitters. On the road this season, he owns a 5.63 ERA with a .285 opponent batting average. Through 11 starts, the right-hander is giving up 5.7 hits and 1.2 extra-base hits per game.

Bases Metrics

Yes, the Guardians rank 23rd in total bases per game, averaging just 12.44, but over their last three games they have averaged 17. Small sample size, sure—but it is clear they are seeing the ball well. Meanwhile, the Angels are allowing 14.6 bases per game—14.31 on the road. Over the last 14 days, Los Angeles ranks second worst in pitching, per FanGraphs. They are fifth worst in ground ball rate, sixth in strikeouts per nine, and dead last in xFIP.

This is a great number and price for the Guardians to put up a big offensive day against a struggling starter. Not to mention, the Angels have the worst bullpen in baseball: a 6.18 ERA and 1.67 WHIP on the season. Give me the Guardians bases.

Best Bet: Guardians Team Total Over 12.5 Bases (-125) odds via BetOnline

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