2025 Home Run Leader Odds Update | September 16, 2025

Kyle Schwarber

Home Run Leader: The chase for the home run crown. Power hitters across the league are swinging for history, and every at-bat feels magnified with only two weeks left on the calendar. Cal Raleigh, Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani, and Aaron Judge headline the battle, each with the power to change the standings in an instant. For bettors and fans alike, this race provides one more layer of drama as the postseason draws near.

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Most Regular Season Home Runs Odds

Shohei Ohtani at bat

Can Shohei Ohtani creep up on Cal Raleigh for the most home runs?

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world. BetOnline offers a wide variety of markets paired with the most competitive lines available, making them the go-to site to place your bets. Sign up today with Promo Code BNEWS and get a 50% deposit match up to $1,000, as well as $10 instantly in your account.

    • Cal Raleigh -210
    • Kyle Schwarber +220
    • Shohei Ohtani +1000
    • Aaron Judge +4500

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With roughly 12 games left for most MLB teams, the playoff race is reaching its peak, and every swing matters a little more. One of the most compelling chases right now is the home run race. Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh leads the league with 54, followed closely by Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber with 53. Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani sits at 49, and Yankees captain Aaron Judge rounds out the top group with 48. The question is whether there is value in backing anyone to catch Raleigh down the stretch. As someone already holding Schwarber at 30-to-1, I will be sweating that ticket until the final out of the season. But for those who have not yet entered this market, the real question is where the value lies now.

The Long Shot

The number that jumps off the page is Aaron Judge at +4500. Six home runs back with just two weeks to play is no easy task, but the case is stronger than it may appear. For one, the Yankees finish against three of the weakest pitching staffs in baseball in the White Sox, Orioles, and Twins. Judge has already left the yard five times this month, with all of them coming in his last six games. Add in the fact that the Yankees are still fighting for the AL East crown, four games behind the Blue Jays, and the motivation will be sky-high. Toronto faces the 13th toughest schedule remaining, meaning New York will need Judge to go supernova if they want a shot. At this price, it is worth a sprinkle.

Here Comes Schwarber

Schwarber is far from a bad look either. Anything above 2-to-1 is intriguing, especially given the Phillies’ schedule. They close against the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Twins, and Marlins, giving Schwarber plenty of cracks at hittable pitching. His bat went quiet after that unforgettable four-homer game, but it has started to heat up again, as he left the yard in back-to-back-to-back games. If he can ride that momentum, he has every chance to push past Raleigh. The key concern is how quickly Raleigh seems to answer whenever Schwarber leaves the park, but Schwarber’s combination of schedule, power, and current form still makes him a strong play.

As we head into the final stretch of the season, the home run race feels just as thrilling as the playoff hunt itself. Raleigh has been steady all year, but Schwarber and Judge both present intriguing late-season betting opportunities. Schwarber’s power, schedule, and current form make him the most logical challenger, while Judge offers long-shot value given his hot bat and the Yankees’ need for a spark. Whether you prefer the safer angle with Schwarber or want to take a shot on Judge, this home run chase is shaping up to be one of baseball’s best storylines to close 2025.

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