Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)

Turf Paradise entrance

The racing action from Turf Paradise on Saturday features the Turf Paradise Derby. @HandicappingT3 has all the Turf Paradise picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)

Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)

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Turf Paradise Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:25 PM PT; Allred Brothers Stakes $40k; 350 Y Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #6 YOU CAN RUN (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #9 SAMPSON SAYS (8-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
  • #1 WOMAN IN GOLD (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #4 JESS MY DYNASTY (3-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 6 – 9 – 1 – 4

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:55 PM PT; Allowance Optional Claiming $23k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #7 ALL THAT GLORY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 103 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
  • #2 JOHN DUNBAR (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
  • #3 DAGGER RANCH (5-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #1 JIN TONG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves are there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 2 – 3 – 1

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:24 PM PT; Claiming $19.5k; 4 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

  • #9 ANNIE’S BOY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
  • #4 BLUEGRASS FAITH (5-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Can run with these.
  • #6 JAIME’S COMMITMENT (4-1): Major Player. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #2 MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF (8-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 9 – 4 – 6 – 2

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:52 PM PT; Allowance $30k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #8 NEVER SWAY (5-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #4 PEPPER MILL (3-1): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
  • #5 BLESSED ANGEL (9-2): Worth a look. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #3 ASENA (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 8 – 4 – 5 – 3

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:20 PM PT; Cotton Fitzsimmons Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

  • #6 IRISH PROPHET (5-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #5 KENNEBEC (7-2): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Comes home strong.
  • #3 CORNISHMAN (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
  • #7 SALINE RIVER (3-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 6 – 5 – 3 – 7

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:48 PM PT; Turf Paradise Derby $50k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #3 SPENARD (6-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Strong early pace figs.
  • #8 WOOD CEILING (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
  • #7 BODI ZAFA (3-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #1 DON’T FLY STAND BY (7-2): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 1

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:18 PM PT; Arizona Oaks $50k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #4 TWO BAR (5-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
  • #5 POLYTHENE PAM (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Stamina to be in the mix late.
  • #2 SUNSET BEAUTY (6-1): Contender. The 78 speed rating is among the best in the field. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
  • #3 KANOJO (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 2 – 3

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:48 PM PT; Queen of the Green Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #6 FLAME MCGOON (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
  • #8 EMPRESS ELLIE (5-1): Contender. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
  • #1 AVENTAPP (6-1): Worth a look. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #3 BIG HUG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 6 – 8 – 1 – 3

Turf Paradise Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:18 PM PT; Phoenix Gold Cup Handicap $50k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #1 REDLINE (5-2): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #6 TAPATIO LEO (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #5 COASTAL JAZZ (7-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
  • #4 PLANE TALK (5-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 5 – 4

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