The racing action from Turf Paradise on Saturday features the Turf Paradise Derby. @HandicappingT3 has all the Turf Paradise picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis

Turf Paradise Picks- Turf Paradise Derby (03/15/2025)
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Turf Paradise Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:25 PM PT; Allred Brothers Stakes $40k; 350 Y Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day
- #6 YOU CAN RUN (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
- #9 SAMPSON SAYS (8-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #1 WOMAN IN GOLD (4-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
- #4 JESS MY DYNASTY (3-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 6 – 9 – 1 – 4
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:55 PM PT; Allowance Optional Claiming $23k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #7 ALL THAT GLORY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 103 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #2 JOHN DUNBAR (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #3 DAGGER RANCH (5-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 JIN TONG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves are there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 7 – 2 – 3 – 1
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:24 PM PT; Claiming $19.5k; 4 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #9 ANNIE’S BOY (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
- #4 BLUEGRASS FAITH (5-1): Major Player. Should take a liking to the race shape. Can run with these.
- #6 JAIME’S COMMITMENT (4-1): Major Player. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Previous success in similar race types.
- #2 MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF (8-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 9 – 4 – 6 – 2
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:52 PM PT; Allowance $30k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #8 NEVER SWAY (5-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly.
- #4 PEPPER MILL (3-1): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #5 BLESSED ANGEL (9-2): Worth a look. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.
- #3 ASENA (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 8 – 4 – 5 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:20 PM PT; Cotton Fitzsimmons Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #6 IRISH PROPHET (5-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
- #5 KENNEBEC (7-2): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Comes home strong.
- #3 CORNISHMAN (6-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #7 SALINE RIVER (3-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 6 – 5 – 3 – 7
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:48 PM PT; Turf Paradise Derby $50k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #3 SPENARD (6-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 WOOD CEILING (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
- #7 BODI ZAFA (3-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 DON’T FLY STAND BY (7-2): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 1
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:18 PM PT; Arizona Oaks $50k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
- #4 TWO BAR (5-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
- #5 POLYTHENE PAM (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #2 SUNSET BEAUTY (6-1): Contender. The 78 speed rating is among the best in the field. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
- #3 KANOJO (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 4 – 5 – 2 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:48 PM PT; Queen of the Green Handicap $50k; 1 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #6 FLAME MCGOON (3-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #8 EMPRESS ELLIE (5-1): Contender. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #1 AVENTAPP (6-1): Worth a look. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #3 BIG HUG (4-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 6 – 8 – 1 – 3
Turf Paradise Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:18 PM PT; Phoenix Gold Cup Handicap $50k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card
- #1 REDLINE (5-2): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #6 TAPATIO LEO (5-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #5 COASTAL JAZZ (7-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #4 PLANE TALK (5-1): Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 5 – 4
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